Trader consensus prices FC Bayern München at 44.5% implied probability to win the Champions League quarterfinal first leg at the Bernabéu, edging Real Madrid CF at 32.5% despite home advantage, as Los Blancos grapple with a severe injury crisis including Rodrygo's season-ending ACL and meniscus rupture from early March, Thibaut Courtois sidelined by a thigh muscle tear for both legs, and Éder Militão out with a torn muscle fiber. Bayern faces its own challenges with a goalkeeper injury epidemic—Manuel Neuer (calf), Jonas Urbig (knee), and Sven Ulreich (abductor) doubtful—but anticipates returns for Neuer and Jamal Musiala, who is targeting fitness after a recent setback. Recent Round of 16 triumphs for both fuel a competitive draw at 23%, tempered by squad depth concerns and historical head-to-head edge for Real Madrid.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert

If Real Madrid CF wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 25, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...

If Real Madrid CF wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 25, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices FC Bayern München at 44.5% implied probability to win the Champions League quarterfinal first leg at the Bernabéu, edging Real Madrid CF at 32.5% despite home advantage, as Los Blancos grapple with a severe injury crisis including Rodrygo's season-ending ACL and meniscus rupture from early March, Thibaut Courtois sidelined by a thigh muscle tear for both legs, and Éder Militão out with a torn muscle fiber. Bayern faces its own challenges with a goalkeeper injury epidemic—Manuel Neuer (calf), Jonas Urbig (knee), and Sven Ulreich (abductor) doubtful—but anticipates returns for Neuer and Jamal Musiala, who is targeting fitness after a recent setback. Recent Round of 16 triumphs for both fuel a competitive draw at 23%, tempered by squad depth concerns and historical head-to-head edge for Real Madrid.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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