Trader consensus slightly favors FC Bayern München at 44.5% implied probability for the UEFA Champions League quarter-final first leg at Santiago Bernabéu, reflecting Real Madrid's major setback with superstar goalkeeper Thibaut Courtois ruled out for six weeks due to a thigh injury announced March 19. This leaves Lunin in net, tilting sentiment toward Bayern despite Madrid's home advantage and recent Round of 16 triumph over Manchester City. Bayern's momentum stems from a dominant 10-2 aggregate win over Atalanta, fueled by top European performers like Harry Kane (leading scorer) and Michael Olise, though Bayern contends with their own injury concerns for Manuel Neuer, Jamal Musiala, and Alphonso Davies. The matchup remains closely contested, with draw pricing at 22.5% underscoring potential for a tight affair in this historic rivalry.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert

If Real Madrid CF wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 25, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...

If Real Madrid CF wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 25, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus slightly favors FC Bayern München at 44.5% implied probability for the UEFA Champions League quarter-final first leg at Santiago Bernabéu, reflecting Real Madrid's major setback with superstar goalkeeper Thibaut Courtois ruled out for six weeks due to a thigh injury announced March 19. This leaves Lunin in net, tilting sentiment toward Bayern despite Madrid's home advantage and recent Round of 16 triumph over Manchester City. Bayern's momentum stems from a dominant 10-2 aggregate win over Atalanta, fueled by top European performers like Harry Kane (leading scorer) and Michael Olise, though Bayern contends with their own injury concerns for Manuel Neuer, Jamal Musiala, and Alphonso Davies. The matchup remains closely contested, with draw pricing at 22.5% underscoring potential for a tight affair in this historic rivalry.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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