Trump's job approval rating has remained mired near record lows for his second term amid sustained U.S. military involvement in the conflict with Iran, with recent Reuters/Ipsos and other polling showing approval at 33-40% and widespread public concern that the engagement will drag on. This has coincided with elevated gasoline prices tied to disruptions in global oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz, weighing on household costs and broader economic sentiment. Daily tracking data through mid-to-late August reflect little upward movement, reinforcing trader consensus reflected in the near-certain odds on a weekly decline. A sudden diplomatic breakthrough yielding a verifiable ceasefire or sharp drop in energy costs could still shift the weekly reading, though such developments have proved elusive in recent months.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertGestiegen
<1% Chance
$423 Vol.
$423 Vol.
21. Aug. 2026
Gestiegen
<1% Chance
$423 Vol.
$423 Vol.
21. Aug. 2026
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 21, 2026, than on August 14, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 14, 2026, than on August 21, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trump's job approval rating has remained mired near record lows for his second term amid sustained U.S. military involvement in the conflict with Iran, with recent Reuters/Ipsos and other polling showing approval at 33-40% and widespread public concern that the engagement will drag on. This has coincided with elevated gasoline prices tied to disruptions in global oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz, weighing on household costs and broader economic sentiment. Daily tracking data through mid-to-late August reflect little upward movement, reinforcing trader consensus reflected in the near-certain odds on a weekly decline. A sudden diplomatic breakthrough yielding a verifiable ceasefire or sharp drop in energy costs could still shift the weekly reading, though such developments have proved elusive in recent months.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 21, 2026, than on August 14, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 14, 2026, than on August 21, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 14, 2026, than on August 21, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ET
Volumen
$423Enddatum
21. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Gefallen
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Gefallen
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 21, 2026, than on August 14, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 14, 2026, than on August 21, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trump's job approval rating has remained mired near record lows for his second term amid sustained U.S. military involvement in the conflict with Iran, with recent Reuters/Ipsos and other polling showing approval at 33-40% and widespread public concern that the engagement will drag on. This has coincided with elevated gasoline prices tied to disruptions in global oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz, weighing on household costs and broader economic sentiment. Daily tracking data through mid-to-late August reflect little upward movement, reinforcing trader consensus reflected in the near-certain odds on a weekly decline. A sudden diplomatic breakthrough yielding a verifiable ceasefire or sharp drop in energy costs could still shift the weekly reading, though such developments have proved elusive in recent months.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 21, 2026, than on August 14, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 14, 2026, than on August 21, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 14, 2026, than on August 21, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$423Enddatum
21. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Gefallen
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Gefallen
Trump's job approval rating has remained mired near record lows for his second term amid sustained U.S. military involvement in the conflict with Iran, with recent Reuters/Ipsos and other polling showing approval at 33-40% and widespread public concern that the engagement will drag on. This has coincided with elevated gasoline prices tied to disruptions in global oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz, weighing on household costs and broader economic sentiment. Daily tracking data through mid-to-late August reflect little upward movement, reinforcing trader consensus reflected in the near-certain odds on a weekly decline. A sudden diplomatic breakthrough yielding a verifiable ceasefire or sharp drop in energy costs could still shift the weekly reading, though such developments have proved elusive in recent months.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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