Trader consensus on Polymarket has overwhelmingly locked in President Trump's job approval rating at 39.0–39.4% for April 24, 2026, precisely matching Nate Silver Bulletin's daily polling average of 39% approve (green trend line), the market's primary resolution source. This commanding position stems from a fresh batch of polls released in the past week—Economist/YouGov at 38%, NBC News/SurveyMonkey at 37%, Reuters/Ipsos at 36%, and AP-NORC showing economic approval near 30%—driving net approval to a second-term low of -18.8 amid voter discontent over inflation, soaring gas prices (65% blame per Quinnipiac), and the ongoing Iran war. While near-certain, a rare retroactive revision to Silver Bulletin or fallback to RealClearPolitics average could theoretically shift resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert39.0–39.4 100.0%
<38.5 <1%
38.5–38.9 <1%
39.5–39.9 <1%
$59,339 Vol.
$59,339 Vol.
<38.5
No
38.5–38.9
No
39.0–39.4
Yes
39.5–39.9
No
40.0–40.4
No
40.5+
No
39.0–39.4 100.0%
<38.5 <1%
38.5–38.9 <1%
39.5–39.9 <1%
$59,339 Vol.
$59,339 Vol.
<38.5
No
38.5–38.9
No
39.0–39.4
Yes
39.5–39.9
No
40.0–40.4
No
40.5+
No
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 17, 2026, 10:46 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has overwhelmingly locked in President Trump's job approval rating at 39.0–39.4% for April 24, 2026, precisely matching Nate Silver Bulletin's daily polling average of 39% approve (green trend line), the market's primary resolution source. This commanding position stems from a fresh batch of polls released in the past week—Economist/YouGov at 38%, NBC News/SurveyMonkey at 37%, Reuters/Ipsos at 36%, and AP-NORC showing economic approval near 30%—driving net approval to a second-term low of -18.8 amid voter discontent over inflation, soaring gas prices (65% blame per Quinnipiac), and the ongoing Iran war. While near-certain, a rare retroactive revision to Silver Bulletin or fallback to RealClearPolitics average could theoretically shift resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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