Tennessee's 3rd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+18 and has delivered consistent Republican majorities in recent cycles, including a 67.5% win for incumbent Chuck Fleischmann in 2024. Fleischmann, who has represented the Chattanooga-centered East Tennessee seat since 2011, advanced unopposed through the August 2026 Republican primary while Democrat Anna Golladay secured her party's nomination. Forecasters across Cook, Inside Elections, Decision Desk HQ, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. The 94.5% Republican implied probability in the market aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive challengers. A late-breaking scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns indicate limited scope for an upset.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertTN-03 Wahlsieger
TN-03 Wahlsieger
$37,273 Vol.
$37,273 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
95%
Demokratische Partei
6%
$37,273 Vol.
$37,273 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$20,731 Vol.
95%
Demokratische Partei
$16,542 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 3rd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+18 and has delivered consistent Republican majorities in recent cycles, including a 67.5% win for incumbent Chuck Fleischmann in 2024. Fleischmann, who has represented the Chattanooga-centered East Tennessee seat since 2011, advanced unopposed through the August 2026 Republican primary while Democrat Anna Golladay secured her party's nomination. Forecasters across Cook, Inside Elections, Decision Desk HQ, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. The 94.5% Republican implied probability in the market aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive challengers. A late-breaking scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns indicate limited scope for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$37,273Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 3rd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+18 and has delivered consistent Republican majorities in recent cycles, including a 67.5% win for incumbent Chuck Fleischmann in 2024. Fleischmann, who has represented the Chattanooga-centered East Tennessee seat since 2011, advanced unopposed through the August 2026 Republican primary while Democrat Anna Golladay secured her party's nomination. Forecasters across Cook, Inside Elections, Decision Desk HQ, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. The 94.5% Republican implied probability in the market aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive challengers. A late-breaking scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns indicate limited scope for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$37,273Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 3rd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+18 and has delivered consistent Republican majorities in recent cycles, including a 67.5% win for incumbent Chuck Fleischmann in 2024. Fleischmann, who has represented the Chattanooga-centered East Tennessee seat since 2011, advanced unopposed through the August 2026 Republican primary while Democrat Anna Golladay secured her party's nomination. Forecasters across Cook, Inside Elections, Decision Desk HQ, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. The 94.5% Republican implied probability in the market aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive challengers. A late-breaking scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns indicate limited scope for an upset.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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