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This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament.

If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.

If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Xander Schauffele

Joaquin Niemann

Sungjae Im

Akshay Bhatia

Tom Kim

Cameron Young

Billy Horschel

Brian Harman

Rasmus Hojgaard

Ludvig Aberg

Tyrrell Hatton

Robert MacIntyre

Russell Henley

Justin Thomas

Cameron Smith

Corey Conners

Wyndham Clark

Keegan Bradley

Phil Mickelson

Byeong Hun An

Charl Schwartzel

Fred Couples

Viktor Hovland

Will Zalatoris

Justin Rose

Sepp Straka

Sam Burns

Aaron Rai

Tiger Woods

Zach Johnson

Scottie Scheffler

Brooks Koepka

Tommy Fleetwood

Jason Day

Tony Finau

Matt Fitzpatrick

Maverick McNealy

Nicolai Hojgaard

Bubba Watson

Rory McIlroy

Hideki Matsuyama

Shane Lowry

Max Homa

Dustin Johnson

Adam Scott

Denny McCarthy

Taylor Pendrith

Bryson Dechambeau

Jordan Spieth

Jon Rahm

Collin Morikawa

Patrick Cantlay

Patrick Reed

Min Woo Lee

Sahith Theegala

Davis Thompson

Sergio Garcia

Thomas Detry

Danny Willett

Die Masters - Sieger 

Rory McIlroy emerges as a top contender at the Genesis Invitational, with odds shifting dramatically in his favor from +1375 to +196 before Round 3. Fans and analysts alike celebrate his strong performance, highlighting his 29 PGA Tour wins and Masters championship.

McIlroy Dominates Genesis

On the tee, 

A 29 time PGA tour winner, A masters champion, 

From Northern Ireland (not New Zealand) 

RORY MCILROY 😍

Comfy 4/1 winning double in R2. Shorter prices in R3, where more of the same from McIlroy would be nice.

Preview:

https://t.co/1dDPAJPEFO

Notable Genesis Invitational Winner Odds Movement
Pre R1➡️Current 👀

📈
Rory McIlroy +1375➡️+196
Jacob Bridgeman +7600➡️+415
Marco Penge +15500➡️+500
📉
Scottie Scheffler +295➡️+14000
Collin Morikawa +4300➡️+8600
Hideki Matsuyama +2350➡️+130000

Notable Genesis Invitational Odds Movement @DKSportsbook (Pre R3➡️Current)

Jacob Bridgeman +415➡️-525
Rory McIlroy +194➡️+540
Marco Penge +510➡️+36000
Xander Schauffele +680➡️+6200
Aldrich Potgieter +15500➡️+3300
Aaron Rai +14000➡️+7200
Adam Scott +1200➡️+62500
Scottie Scheffler https://t.co/ydMWnX9l38

No significant events or updates were reported in the analyzed data. The absence of notable activity suggests a period of stability or minimal impactful news influencing current conditions.

Market News Update

No significant events or news have been reported in the provided data to explain recent market movements. Further information is needed to assess the factors influencing current trends.

No significant events or updates were reported in the analyzed content. The absence of notable information suggests a period of stability or lack of major developments influencing current conditions.

No tweets are available for analysis at this time. Further updates will be provided as new information emerges.

Market Update Pending

No specific events or news are available from the provided data to summarize at this time. Further information is needed to assess any impact on market movements.

Market Event Update

There are no tweets provided for analysis at this time. Without specific content to summarize, no key events or sentiments can be reported.

There are no tweets provided for analysis at this time. Please provide relevant social media content to generate a summary and title.

No Tweets Available

No significant events or updates have been reported in the provided data. Further information is needed to assess any impact on market movements.

No tweets are available for analysis at this time. Further updates will be provided as new information or social media activity emerges.

No significant events or news have been reported in the provided data to influence market movements. Further information is needed to assess any potential impact.

No significant events or updates were reported in the provided data. Further monitoring is recommended to capture any relevant developments.

A significant market update has been released, highlighting key shifts in economic indicators and corporate earnings. This update is driving widespread discussions and reactions across various sectors.

Market Update Released

No specific events or news were identified from the provided data to explain recent market movements. Further analysis or additional sources may be needed to uncover relevant influences.

Market Event Summary

No significant events or updates have been reported in the provided data. Further monitoring is required to identify any relevant news or developments.

This market will resolve according to the name of the contestant who is voted off of Survivor: Season 50 during the episode scheduled to release March 11, 8:00PM ET. 

If the relevant episode of Survivor is not aired by the date of this show's next scheduled release, at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event that no one is voted off of Survivor: Season 50 or multiple people are voted off of Survivor: Season 50 in the relevant episode, this market will resolve to "Other".

Evacuations, medical disqualifications, or voluntary or involuntary forfeitures not as a result of voting will not qualify towards the resolution of this market.

The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the relevant episode of Survivor.

Wird Quintavius "Q" Burdette diese Woche bei Survivor Staffel 50 rausgewählt?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's Claude 5 model is made available to the general public by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

For this market to resolve to "Yes," Claude 5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.

Claude 5 refers to a product explicitly named Claude 5 (e.g. Claude 5.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4, similar to the progression from Claude 2 to Claude 3. Products labeled as Claude 4.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Wird Claude 5 bis zum 30. April 2026 veröffentlicht werden?

The Valorant Masters Santiago 2026 Grand Finals is scheduled for March 15, 2026, 1 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the official English broadcast of the Valorant Masters Santiago Grand Finals. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Mentions of the term originating from in-game audio—even in-game characters, the in-game announcer, or player voice comms—will also count toward this market's resolution.

If prerecorded clips are aired where people are speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video WILL count toward this market's resolution.

Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market.

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

If this event is definitively cancelled or otherwise not aired by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official English livestream of the Masters Santiago 2026 Grand Finals at https://youtube.com/@ValorantEsports

Will "Ult" or "Ultimate" be said 15+ times during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals?

This is a market to predict which teams finish in the top 4 of the Call of Duty League Regular Season standings for the 2025–26 season.

If the listed team officially finishes in the top 4 of the Call of Duty League standings at the end of the season, the market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."

If two or more teams are tied on points for a top 4 position, resolution will follow the official Call of Duty League tiebreaking procedures.

If the 2025–26 Call of Duty League season is canceled or not completed before October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Call of Duty League (https://www.callofdutyleague.com/en-us/standings?utm_source=cdlweb&utm_medium=navigationbar&utm_campaign=general). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Wird OpTic Texas die reguläre CDL-Saison in den Top 4 abschließen?

This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50.

If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. 

This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season.

The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.

Wird Aubry Bracco die 50. Staffel von Survivor gewinnen?

The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2026, the 98th Academy Awards are scheduled to take place on March 15, 2026. 

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the scheduled broadcast of the Oscars on ABC. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If prerecorded clips are aired where people are speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.

Commercials which are not part of the show itself will not qualify toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will count toward this market's resolution.

Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

If no such stream is aired by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the official ABC broadcast of this event.

Will "Mom" be said at the Oscars?

This is a polymarket to predict which clubs finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 standings for the 2025–26 season.

If the listed club officially finishes in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 standings at the end of the season, the market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."

If two or more clubs are tied on points for a top 4 position, resolution will follow the official Ligue 1 tiebreaking procedures.

If the 2025–26 Ligue 1 season is canceled or not completed before October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source will be official information from Ligue 1. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Wird Lens die Saison 2025–26 in der Ligue 1 unter den ersten vier beenden?

Love is Blind: Season 10 is scheduled to premiere on February 11, 2026 on Netflix.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person featured in Love Is Blind Season 10 becomes engaged to another participant. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

If a listed participant leaves the named show or it is otherwise no longer possible for them to become engaged during the relevant season of this show, this market will resolve to "No".

If the finale is not released by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the show is officially cancelled, this market will resolve to “No.”

The primary resolution source will be official Netflix footage of the show. If official footage is ambiguous, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

Wird sich Haramol Gill bei Love is Blind: Ohio verloben?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed bank fails between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

For the purposes of this market, the listed bank will be considered to have “failed” if, within the listed date range, any of the following occurs under the bank’s applicable legal or regulatory framework:

- The listed bank’s primary banking regulator formally declares the institution insolvent or non-viable, or withdraws or revokes the bank’s license or authorization, and such determination initiates or directly results in resolution, liquidation, wind-down, or transfer actions.
- The listed bank enters a court-ordered liquidation, statutory resolution regime, or regulator-mandated wind-down, including the use of resolution tools such as bail-ins, forced asset transfers, or the establishment of a bridge bank.
- A government or resolution authority intervenes in a manner that wipes out or subordinates existing equity of the listed bank and transfers effective control of the bank to the state or a designated resolution authority, with continued operations dependent on official intervention.
- The listed bank publicly defaults on a payment obligation, including derivatives margin, repo, or physical commodity delivery, and such default is formally acknowledged by the bank’s primary regulator or resolution authority and directly results in the initiation of resolution, liquidation, license withdrawal, or regulator-mandated transfer of the bank.
- The listed bank is subject to a compulsory merger, acquisition, or transfer of all or substantially all of its assets and liabilities ordered or directed by its primary banking regulator or resolution authority due to the bank’s financial condition or to prevent failure, regardless of whether a formal insolvency declaration or immediate equity wipeout is publicly announced at the time of transfer.

If there is a potential failure of the listed bank within this market’s date range and a qualifying regulatory or court action has occurred but has not yet been fully published by the relevant authority, this market may remain open  to allow for confirmation. If no qualifying failure is confirmed by that date, this market will resolve to “No.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements, filings, or actions by the listed bank’s primary banking regulator or resolution authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Wird Goldman Sachs bis zum 30. Juni 2026 scheitern?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

This is a polymarket to predict which clubs finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga standings for the 2025–26 season.

If the listed club officially finishes in the top 4 of the Bundesliga standings at the end of the season, the market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."

If two or more clubs are tied on points for a top 4 position, resolution will follow the official Bundesliga tiebreaking procedures.

If the 2025–26 Bundesliga season is canceled or not completed before October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Wird Bayern München die Bundesliga-Saison 2025/26 unter den Top 4 abschließen?

This is a polymarket to predict which clubs finish in the top 4 of the La Liga standings for the 2025–26 season.

If the listed club officially finishes in the top 4 of the La Liga standings at the end of the season, the market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."

If two or more clubs are tied on points for a top 4 position, resolution will follow the official La Liga tiebreaking procedures.

If the 2025–26 La Liga season is canceled or not completed before October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source will be official information from La Liga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Wird Real Madrid die Saison 2025/26 in der La Liga unter den Top 4 abschließen?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 5 at the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship tournament, including ties. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If final results are not announced by March 21, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).

Wird Ludvig Aberg bei der THE PLAYERS Championship 2026 unter die Top 5 kommen?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team makes the 2025–26 NHL Playoffs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

A team will be considered to have made the Playoffs if it qualifies for the postseason bracket under the official rules of the NHL for the 2025–26 season. Qualification through any officially recognized NHL format (including Wild Card berths) will count.

If it becomes impossible for the listed team to qualify for the Playoffs based on the rules of the NHL (e.g. the team is mathematically eliminated), this market will resolve immediately to “No.”

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Werden die Minnesota Wild die NHL-Playoffs erreichen?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fourth installment in James Cameron's Avatar series is explicitly announced to be in production or preparing to enter production by March 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To qualify for a "Yes" resolution, the film must be explicitly acknowledged by James Cameron, Lightstorm Entertainment, its distributor/studio (e.g., 20th Century Studios), or that distributor/studio's parent company (e.g., Disney) to be a sequel to "Avatar: Fire and Ash", and have a similar sequential relationship to the one between "Avatar: The Way of Water" and "Avatar: Fire and Ash". An announcement of a new qualifying film before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced film becomes available to the public. 

The resolution source for this market will be official information from James Cameron, Lightstorm Entertainment, a qualifying film's distributor (e.g., 20th Century Studios) or parent company (e.g., Disney), or a consensus of credible sources.

Wurde Avatar 4 bis zum 31. März genehmigt?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed NFL player is traded by July 22, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Wird George Pickens getradet werden?

This is a polymarket to predict which clubs are relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season.

If the listed club is officially relegated by La Liga following the 2025–26 season, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 La Liga season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from La Liga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Wird Oviedo nach der Saison 2025–26 aus La Liga absteigen?

This is a polymarket to predict which clubs are relegated from Ligue 1 after the 2025–26 season.

If the listed club is officially relegated by Ligue 1 following the 2025–26 season, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 Ligue 1 season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from Ligue 1. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Wird Metz nach der Saison 2025–26 aus der Ligue 1 absteigen?

This is a polymarket to predict which clubs are relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season.

If the listed club is officially relegated by the Bundesliga following the 2025–26 season, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 Bundesliga season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Wird der 1. FC Heidenheim nach der Saison 2025–26 aus der Bundesliga absteigen?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the displayed Rotten Tomatoes “All Critics” Tomatometer score for How to Make a Killing (2026) is at least equal to the specified number at 10:00 AM ET on February 23, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, the resolution data is unavailable at this market's specified end time, the resolution source will be checked until the relevant data is available. This market will resolve to “No” if no data is available by February 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Wird "How to Make a Killing" mindestens 56 Punkte auf dem Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer erreichen?

This market will resolve according to the listed team that is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 Turkish Süper Lig.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the Süper Lig title (e.g., mathematical elimination before the end of the season), the relevant market will resolve immediately to “No.”

If the 2025-26 Süper Lig season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Turkish Football Federation (https://www.tff.org/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Wird Galatasaray die Süper Lig gewinnen?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

Will Trump say "Easter" in March?

BitBoy was recently arrested due to a warrant issued for threatening communications he sent to a Judge. You can read more about that here: https://www.binance.com/en/square/post/22059661159362

This market will resolve to "Yes" if BitBoy (Ben Armstrong) is convicted of any charges related to the emails he sent to Judge Kimberly Childs, by March 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Convictions must be for criminal charges.

If the case is completely dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation occurs in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".

Once an individual is convicted it qualifies for an immediate "Yes" resolution, regardless of later appeals, etc. This market will resolve based on the first conviction in a qualifying case.

The primary resolution source will be official court records, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Wurde BitBoy verurteilt?

This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. 

An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.

Tim Cook nicht mehr Apple-CEO vor 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple releases a new Apple TV product by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying product must be named "Apple TV" and be recognized as a successor to the original Apple TV, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new Apple TV product released without a number, under a designation other than Apple TV 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the Apple TV and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.

In order to be considered released, the product must be officially announced by Apple, or otherwise available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone, for example during a WWDC event, will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Wird Apple bis zum 31. März eine neue Version des Apple TV herausbringen?

This is a polymarket to predict which clubs finish in the top 4 of the Serie A standings for the 2025-26 season.

If the listed club officially finishes in the top 4 of the Serie A standings at the end of the season, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If two or more clubs are tied on points for a top 4 position, resolution will follow the official Serie A tiebreaking procedures.

If the 2025-26 Serie A season is cancelled or not completed before October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from Serie A soccer. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Wird Inter in der Serie A-Saison 2025/26 unter die Top 4 kommen?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if George R. R. Martin publicly and explicitly announces by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that an installment of A Song of Ice and Fire titled "The Winds of Winter" will be released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The announcement of the creation of any expansion or sequel not explicitly named "The Winds of Winter" (e.g., Fire & Blood, A Sworn Sword) will not be sufficient to qualify this market toward a "Yes" resolution. The book must have the words "The Winds of Winter" in the title to qualify. This market is concerned only with the announcement of release. 

The resolution source for this market will be official information from George R. R. Martin or a consensus of credible sources.

Wird George R. R. Martin "The Winds of Winter" im Jahr 2026 ankündigen?

This is a polymarket to predict which clubs finish in the top 4 of the English Premier League standings for the 2025–26 season.

If the listed club officially finishes in the top 4 of the English Premier League standings at the end of the season, the market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."

If two or more clubs are tied on points for a top 4 position, resolution will follow the official English Premier League tiebreaking procedures.

If the 2025–26 English Premier League season is canceled or not completed before October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Wird Arsenal in der EPL-Saison 2025–26 unter den Top 4 landen?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular visibly sheds tears that can be clearly observed on their face during any live stream broadcast by May 1, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The 'crying' must occur while Clavicular is live on stream and the tears must be visible on camera. Crying that occurs off-camera, is only mentioned or described verbally, or occurs outside of a live stream (e.g. in real life off-stream or in edited content) will not count toward this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source is Clavicular's Kick.com channel (https://www.kick.com/clavicular) or credible video clips from the stream; however, a consensus of credible reporting or widely circulated video evidence may also be used.





Will Clavicular cry on stream by May 1, 2026

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.

This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.

If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.

Wird George Russell der Formel-1-Fahrerschampion 2026 sein?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season. 

This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.

In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”

If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.

Wird Mercedes 2026 Formel-1-Konstrukteursweltmeister sein?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Wird Jiří Procházka 2026 UFC-Champion werden?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Mergers where the listed company is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution.

An announced agreement between the listed company and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the listed company and/or its leadership; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Wird Pizza Hut vor 2027 übernommen werden?

This market will resolve to if Valve publicly and explicitly announces that a new Half-Life game is in production by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To qualify for a "Yes" resolution, the game must be explicitly acknowledged by Valve to be an installment of the Half-Life franchise or have the words "Half-Life" in the title. Updates to and expansion packs for already-released games will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". An announcement by Valve of a new qualifying game before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced game becomes available to the public. 

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve or a consensus of credible sources.

Neues Half-Life-Spiel bis zum 30. Juni?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 5 model is made available to the general public by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

For this market to resolve to "Yes," Grok 5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public.

Grok 5 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 5 (e.g. Grok 5.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4 similar to the progression from Grok 2 to Grok 3. Products labeled as Grok 4.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Wird Grok 5 bis zum 30. Juni 2026 veröffentlicht?

This is a polymarket to predict which clubs are relegated from Serie A after the 2025–26 season.

If the listed club is officially relegated by Serie A following the 2025–26 season, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 Serie A season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from Serie A. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Wird Pisa nach der Saison 2025/26 aus der Serie A absteigen?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)

Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.

For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. 

The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

GPT-5.5 released by June 30, 2026?

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Champions League final. 

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Champions League final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 UEFA Champions League is cancelled, postponed after June 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Champions League final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Wird Arsenal das Finale der UEFA Champions League erreichen?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Ist Starmer bis zum 31. Dezember 2026 nicht mehr im Amt?

This is a polymarket to predict which clubs are relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season.

If the listed club is officially relegated by the English Premier League following the 2025–26 season, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 English Premier League season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Wird Burnley nach der Saison 2025–26 aus der englischen Premier League absteigen?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025-2026 ACC Men's Basketball Regular Season Championship.

If two or more teams tie for the regular season championship, this market will resolve according to the team which receives a higher seed for the 2026 ACC Men's Basketball conference tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a team to win the 2025-2026 ACC Men's Basketball Regular Season Championship based on the rules of the ACC or NCAA (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No" for that team.

If for any reason no 2025-2026 ACC Men's Basketball regular season champion is declared by April 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Official resolution will be based on the ACC’s official Men's Basketball results, as published on theacc.com or NCAA.com, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.