Morena holds the strongest position in the Tabasco congressional race due to its coalition's clean sweep of all six federal deputy districts in preliminary results from the October 2026 elections, with over 90 percent of polling stations counted. State-level surveys show the party maintaining 43 percent affinity among voters, well ahead of rivals, while Governor Javier May's 68 percent approval rating bolsters the ruling bloc's standing. Smaller parties such as PVEM, PRI, MC, PT, and PAN register far lower support in recent polling, consistent with the coalition's national gains toward a qualified majority in the Chamber of Deputies. Traders price these outcomes according to the confirmed district-level results and ongoing vote tabulation.