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icon for November-Referendum in der Schweiz: Was wird passieren?
Wahlen·Referenden

November-Referendum in der Schweiz: Was wird passieren?

icon for November-Referendum in der Schweiz: Was wird passieren?
Wahlen·Referenden

November-Referendum in der Schweiz: Was wird passieren?

Sep. 27

Nov. 29

Sep. 27

Nov. 29

NEU
28. Nov. 2026
Polymarket

$4,005 Vol.

Polymarket

Mehrwertsteuer-Bundesbeschluss

$872 Vol.

63%

Initiative zur Einschränkung von Feuerwerk

$2,738 Vol.

28%

Ehe-Besteuerungsinitiative

$197 Vol.

20%

Kriegsmaterial-Änderung

$198 Vol.

63%

As of market creation, four referenda are scheduled to be held in Switzerland on November 29, 2026: - Issue 1: Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT - Issue 2: Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ - Issue 3: Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ - Issue 4: Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG) This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote. If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held. The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.Swiss voters will decide four measures on 29 November 2026, including a mandatory referendum on raising VAT to fund expanded AVS pension payments, a popular initiative restricting fireworks, another initiative ending the tax penalty on married couples through individual federal taxation, and an optional referendum on parliament’s easing of restrictions on military equipment exports and re-exports. Campaigns are expected to focus on the pension financing proposal’s fiscal trade-offs, environmental and safety concerns around fireworks, fairness arguments in family taxation, and the balance between Switzerland’s neutrality policy and its defense industry interests. Recent June 2026 votes, including rejection of a population cap initiative, provide context on voter priorities around economic stability and EU relations, while September ballots offer the latest test of turnout and sentiment ahead of the November contests.

As of market creation, four referenda are scheduled to be held in Switzerland on November 29, 2026:

- Issue 1: Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT
- Issue 2: Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’
- Issue 3: Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’
- Issue 4: Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.

If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.

The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,005
Enddatum
29. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jul 13, 2026, 8:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
As of market creation, four referenda are scheduled to be held in Switzerland on November 29, 2026: - Issue 1: Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT - Issue 2: Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ - Issue 3: Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ - Issue 4: Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG) This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote. If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held. The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
As of market creation, four referenda are scheduled to be held in Switzerland on November 29, 2026: - Issue 1: Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT - Issue 2: Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ - Issue 3: Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ - Issue 4: Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG) This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote. If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held. The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.Swiss voters will decide four measures on 29 November 2026, including a mandatory referendum on raising VAT to fund expanded AVS pension payments, a popular initiative restricting fireworks, another initiative ending the tax penalty on married couples through individual federal taxation, and an optional referendum on parliament’s easing of restrictions on military equipment exports and re-exports. Campaigns are expected to focus on the pension financing proposal’s fiscal trade-offs, environmental and safety concerns around fireworks, fairness arguments in family taxation, and the balance between Switzerland’s neutrality policy and its defense industry interests. Recent June 2026 votes, including rejection of a population cap initiative, provide context on voter priorities around economic stability and EU relations, while September ballots offer the latest test of turnout and sentiment ahead of the November contests.

As of market creation, four referenda are scheduled to be held in Switzerland on November 29, 2026:

- Issue 1: Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT
- Issue 2: Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’
- Issue 3: Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’
- Issue 4: Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.

If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.

The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,005
Enddatum
29. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jul 13, 2026, 8:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
As of market creation, four referenda are scheduled to be held in Switzerland on November 29, 2026: - Issue 1: Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT - Issue 2: Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ - Issue 3: Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ - Issue 4: Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG) This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote. If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held. The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.

Verwandte

icon for Wird die Initiative „Schweizer Neutralität schützen“ (Neutralitätsinitiative) bei der Volksabstimmung am 27. September 2026 in der Schweiz angenommen werden?

Wird die Initiative „Schweizer Neutralität schützen“ (Neutralitätsinitiative) bei der Volksabstimmung am 27. September 2026 in der Schweiz angenommen werden?

7%
Ja
icon for Schwedische Parlamentswahl: Mehr Stimmen für MP oder C?

Schwedische Parlamentswahl: Mehr Stimmen für MP oder C?

45%
MP
icon for Schwedische Parlamentswahl: Mehr Stimmen für V oder MP?

Schwedische Parlamentswahl: Mehr Stimmen für V oder MP?

50%
V

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„November-Referendum in der Schweiz: Was wird passieren?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 4 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Mehrwertsteuer-Bundesbeschluss" mit 63%, gefolgt von „Kriegsmaterial-Änderung" mit 63%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 63¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 63% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„November-Referendum in der Schweiz: Was wird passieren?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Jul 13, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „November-Referendum in der Schweiz: Was wird passieren?" ist „Mehrwertsteuer-Bundesbeschluss" mit 63%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 63% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Kriegsmaterial-Änderung" mit 63%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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