The Supreme Court’s 6-3 June 30, 2026 ruling in Trump v. Barbara upheld birthright citizenship under the Fourteenth Amendment and invalidated the administration’s executive order, closing the primary litigation channel. Traders assign 96.1% probability against a rehearing grant by year-end because the July 27 petition deadline passed without any filing from the government, as confirmed by the Court’s docket. Rehearings are already granted in fewer than 1% of cases and require a majority vote among the justices. Absent a new petition or an unforeseen procedural maneuver before December 31, the existing judgment stands. Late-breaking developments such as a fresh lawsuit producing certiorari or an internal Court order could theoretically reopen the issue, though none have materialized in the six weeks since the deadline.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
4% Chance
NEU
NEU
31. Dez. 2026
Ja
4% Chance
NEU
NEU
31. Dez. 2026
The Supreme Court struck down Donald Trump’s Executive Order “Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship” in Trump v. Barbara (https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/25pdf/25-365_4hdj.pdf) on June 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States grants a petition by the executive branch of the United States for a rehearing in that case by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ruling to allow briefing on whether the Court should rehear the case will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, nor will an amendment or correction to the Court's opinion that does not constitute a formal grant of rehearing.
If a Supreme Court ruling on this case denies a petition to rehear the case, or if no such petition is filed by the applicable deadlines, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Supreme Court’s 6-3 June 30, 2026 ruling in Trump v. Barbara upheld birthright citizenship under the Fourteenth Amendment and invalidated the administration’s executive order, closing the primary litigation channel. Traders assign 96.1% probability against a rehearing grant by year-end because the July 27 petition deadline passed without any filing from the government, as confirmed by the Court’s docket. Rehearings are already granted in fewer than 1% of cases and require a majority vote among the justices. Absent a new petition or an unforeseen procedural maneuver before December 31, the existing judgment stands. Late-breaking developments such as a fresh lawsuit producing certiorari or an internal Court order could theoretically reopen the issue, though none have materialized in the six weeks since the deadline.
The Supreme Court struck down Donald Trump’s Executive Order “Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship” in Trump v. Barbara (https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/25pdf/25-365_4hdj.pdf) on June 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States grants a petition by the executive branch of the United States for a rehearing in that case by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ruling to allow briefing on whether the Court should rehear the case will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, nor will an amendment or correction to the Court's opinion that does not constitute a formal grant of rehearing.
If a Supreme Court ruling on this case denies a petition to rehear the case, or if no such petition is filed by the applicable deadlines, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States grants a petition by the executive branch of the United States for a rehearing in that case by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ruling to allow briefing on whether the Court should rehear the case will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, nor will an amendment or correction to the Court's opinion that does not constitute a formal grant of rehearing.
If a Supreme Court ruling on this case denies a petition to rehear the case, or if no such petition is filed by the applicable deadlines, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 13, 2026, 8:18 PM ET
Volumen
$1,351Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 13, 2026, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Supreme Court struck down Donald Trump’s Executive Order “Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship” in Trump v. Barbara (https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/25pdf/25-365_4hdj.pdf) on June 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States grants a petition by the executive branch of the United States for a rehearing in that case by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ruling to allow briefing on whether the Court should rehear the case will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, nor will an amendment or correction to the Court's opinion that does not constitute a formal grant of rehearing.
If a Supreme Court ruling on this case denies a petition to rehear the case, or if no such petition is filed by the applicable deadlines, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Supreme Court’s 6-3 June 30, 2026 ruling in Trump v. Barbara upheld birthright citizenship under the Fourteenth Amendment and invalidated the administration’s executive order, closing the primary litigation channel. Traders assign 96.1% probability against a rehearing grant by year-end because the July 27 petition deadline passed without any filing from the government, as confirmed by the Court’s docket. Rehearings are already granted in fewer than 1% of cases and require a majority vote among the justices. Absent a new petition or an unforeseen procedural maneuver before December 31, the existing judgment stands. Late-breaking developments such as a fresh lawsuit producing certiorari or an internal Court order could theoretically reopen the issue, though none have materialized in the six weeks since the deadline.
The Supreme Court struck down Donald Trump’s Executive Order “Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship” in Trump v. Barbara (https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/25pdf/25-365_4hdj.pdf) on June 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States grants a petition by the executive branch of the United States for a rehearing in that case by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ruling to allow briefing on whether the Court should rehear the case will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, nor will an amendment or correction to the Court's opinion that does not constitute a formal grant of rehearing.
If a Supreme Court ruling on this case denies a petition to rehear the case, or if no such petition is filed by the applicable deadlines, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States grants a petition by the executive branch of the United States for a rehearing in that case by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ruling to allow briefing on whether the Court should rehear the case will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, nor will an amendment or correction to the Court's opinion that does not constitute a formal grant of rehearing.
If a Supreme Court ruling on this case denies a petition to rehear the case, or if no such petition is filed by the applicable deadlines, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,351Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 13, 2026, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Supreme Court’s 6-3 June 30, 2026 ruling in Trump v. Barbara upheld birthright citizenship under the Fourteenth Amendment and invalidated the administration’s executive order, closing the primary litigation channel. Traders assign 96.1% probability against a rehearing grant by year-end because the July 27 petition deadline passed without any filing from the government, as confirmed by the Court’s docket. Rehearings are already granted in fewer than 1% of cases and require a majority vote among the justices. Absent a new petition or an unforeseen procedural maneuver before December 31, the existing judgment stands. Late-breaking developments such as a fresh lawsuit producing certiorari or an internal Court order could theoretically reopen the issue, though none have materialized in the six weeks since the deadline.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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