Saudi-backed Yemeni government forces launched Operation Dawn of Yemen on October 4, 2026, with Saudi air support including roughly 100 fighter jets striking Houthi targets in Sanaa province and elsewhere to retake coastal positions around the Bab al-Mandeb Strait and Mocha port. The offensive aims to restore government control and eventually reach the Houthi-held capital, yet advances remain concentrated on the western coast and southern fronts rather than northern urban centers. Saudi involvement centers on airstrikes, logistics, and training of Yemeni units, with no confirmed deployment of regular Saudi ground forces into Sanaa itself. Traders assign low probabilities to direct Saudi troop entry by late 2026, reflecting the depth of Houthi defenses in the capital, the coalition’s historical preference for proxy operations, and the absence of announced plans for a ground push into Amanat Al Asimah. Escalating Houthi missile and drone responses targeting Saudi territory add further uncertainty to rapid advances.