**Sam Altman faces multiple civil actions but no active criminal charges that would plausibly lead to incarceration soon.** Florida’s June 1, 2026, lawsuit—the first state-led case—names Altman personally, alleging OpenAI concealed ChatGPT safety risks to minors and marketed the large language model deceptively; the complaint seeks substantial civil penalties and holds him individually accountable. His sister’s long-running Missouri civil suit over alleged childhood abuse continues, with Altman denying claims and moving to limit damages. A related Florida criminal probe exists but has not produced indictments. Traders price the June 30, 2026, resolution at roughly 1% because these matters remain civil, product-liability disputes typical of the AI sector, with no felony convictions or imminent regulatory actions that historically result in jail time for tech executives. Key upcoming catalysts include court rulings on the Florida and family cases plus any multistate AI-safety enforcement.