Vivek Ramaswamy's dominant victory in Ohio's Republican gubernatorial primary on May 5, backed by President Trump and Vice President J.D. Vance, has propelled him to the top of trader consensus at 31% implied probability for the 2028 GOP VP slot, signaling his rising appeal as a fresh MAGA-aligned contender in a key swing state. The race remains tight with Marco Rubio (23.5%), buoyed by his Secretary of State role and foreign policy visibility amid tensions like Iran, Steve Bannon (22.6%) drawing hardcore populist support, and Kristi Noem (22.0%) leveraging gubernatorial experience, reflecting fragmented GOP factions without a dominant heir apparent. Separation could emerge from 2026 midterm results, especially Ramaswamy's general election performance, Trump endorsements, or early 2028 presidential primary positioning.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertRepublican VP Nominee 2028
Republican VP Nominee 2028
Steve Bannon 22.6%
Kristi Noem 21.7%
Thomas Massie 20.7%
Marco Rubio 18%
Donald Trump
5%
J.D. Vance
11%
Marco Rubio
24%
Tulsi Gabbard
2%
Glenn Youngkin
2%
Donald Trump Jr.
5%
Ron DeSantis
3%
Nikki Haley
2%
Vivek Ramaswamy
30%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
2%
Greg Abbott
3%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
3%
Brian Kemp
3%
Byron Donalds
1%
Elise Stefanik
4%
Josh Hawley
4%
Ted Cruz
1%
Elon Musk
3%
Matt Gaetz
3%
Katie Britt
3%
John Thune
3%
Kristi Noem
22%
Mike Pence
18%
Tucker Carlson
4%
Ivanka Trump
12%
Tom Brady
13%
Rand Paul
1%
Steve Bannon
23%
Erika Kirk
9%
Kim Kardashian
2%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
16%
Thomas Massie
11%
Eric Trump
3%
Joe Kent
3%
Pete Hegseth
6%
Steve Bannon 22.6%
Kristi Noem 21.7%
Thomas Massie 20.7%
Marco Rubio 18%
Donald Trump
5%
J.D. Vance
11%
Marco Rubio
24%
Tulsi Gabbard
2%
Glenn Youngkin
2%
Donald Trump Jr.
5%
Ron DeSantis
3%
Nikki Haley
2%
Vivek Ramaswamy
30%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
2%
Greg Abbott
3%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
3%
Brian Kemp
3%
Byron Donalds
1%
Elise Stefanik
4%
Josh Hawley
4%
Ted Cruz
1%
Elon Musk
3%
Matt Gaetz
3%
Katie Britt
3%
John Thune
3%
Kristi Noem
22%
Mike Pence
18%
Tucker Carlson
4%
Ivanka Trump
12%
Tom Brady
13%
Rand Paul
1%
Steve Bannon
23%
Erika Kirk
9%
Kim Kardashian
2%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
16%
Thomas Massie
11%
Eric Trump
3%
Joe Kent
3%
Pete Hegseth
6%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 14, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vivek Ramaswamy's dominant victory in Ohio's Republican gubernatorial primary on May 5, backed by President Trump and Vice President J.D. Vance, has propelled him to the top of trader consensus at 31% implied probability for the 2028 GOP VP slot, signaling his rising appeal as a fresh MAGA-aligned contender in a key swing state. The race remains tight with Marco Rubio (23.5%), buoyed by his Secretary of State role and foreign policy visibility amid tensions like Iran, Steve Bannon (22.6%) drawing hardcore populist support, and Kristi Noem (22.0%) leveraging gubernatorial experience, reflecting fragmented GOP factions without a dominant heir apparent. Separation could emerge from 2026 midterm results, especially Ramaswamy's general election performance, Trump endorsements, or early 2028 presidential primary positioning.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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