Aaron Judge tops trader consensus for 2026 AL MVP at 36.5% implied probability, building on his third career award in 2025 where he slashed .331/.467/.736 with 53 home runs and 114 RBIs while powering the Yankees to playoff contention. Bobby Witt Jr. follows at 20.5% after a dynamic 2025 (.295 average, 38 steals, 184 hits) that solidified the Royals as AL Central threats, highlighting his five-tool impact. Cal Raleigh's record 60 catcher homers as 2025 runner-up secures 7%, defying positional precedents amid Seattle's rising lineup. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (9.5%) and Julio Rodriguez (9%) gain from power surges and youth, while Yordan Alvarez (7.2%) leverages elite slugging; all enter healthy post-spring training with no major injuries reported in final exhibitions. Gunnar Henderson and Jose Ramirez trail on consistent production, but team standings and sustained health will shape the race.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertAaron Judge 37%
Bobby Witt Jr. 21%
Cal Raleigh 16%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 10%
Aaron Judge
37%
Bobby Witt Jr.
21%
Cal Raleigh
16%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
10%
Yordan Alvarez
7%
Corey Seager
7%
Mike Trout
6%
Jose Ramirez
6%
Gunnar Henderson
4%
Julio Rodriguez
9%
Aaron Judge 37%
Bobby Witt Jr. 21%
Cal Raleigh 16%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 10%
Aaron Judge
37%
Bobby Witt Jr.
21%
Cal Raleigh
16%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
10%
Yordan Alvarez
7%
Corey Seager
7%
Mike Trout
6%
Jose Ramirez
6%
Gunnar Henderson
4%
Julio Rodriguez
9%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 18, 2026, 10:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Aaron Judge tops trader consensus for 2026 AL MVP at 36.5% implied probability, building on his third career award in 2025 where he slashed .331/.467/.736 with 53 home runs and 114 RBIs while powering the Yankees to playoff contention. Bobby Witt Jr. follows at 20.5% after a dynamic 2025 (.295 average, 38 steals, 184 hits) that solidified the Royals as AL Central threats, highlighting his five-tool impact. Cal Raleigh's record 60 catcher homers as 2025 runner-up secures 7%, defying positional precedents amid Seattle's rising lineup. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (9.5%) and Julio Rodriguez (9%) gain from power surges and youth, while Yordan Alvarez (7.2%) leverages elite slugging; all enter healthy post-spring training with no major injuries reported in final exhibitions. Gunnar Henderson and Jose Ramirez trail on consistent production, but team standings and sustained health will shape the race.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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