Aaron Judge tops trader consensus for 2026 AL MVP at 34.5% implied probability, anchored by his 2025 AL-leading 10.1 WAR, .331 batting title, and sustained power output amid Yankees' early-season contention in the AL East. Bobby Witt Jr. trails at 21.0%, buoyed by his elite 8.0 WAR last year—second only to Judge among hitters—with Royals holding steady at 4-4 in the AL Central, showcasing his speed-power blend and defensive prowess at shortstop. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (10.0%) and Yordan Alvarez (8.8%) gain from Blue Jays and Astros' projected playoff pushes, while Julio Rodriguez (7.5%) and Cal Raleigh (7.0%) reflect Mariners' hot start and Raleigh's catcher scarcity value. No major injuries or Week 1 surprises have shifted markets significantly from preseason projections.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertAaron Judge 33%
Bobby Witt Jr. 21%
Cal Raleigh 14%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 10%
$42,470 Vol.
$42,470 Vol.
Aaron Judge
33%
Bobby Witt Jr.
21%
Cal Raleigh
14%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
10%
Yordan Alvarez
9%
Julio Rodriguez
9%
Mike Trout
7%
Corey Seager
6%
Jose Ramirez
5%
Gunnar Henderson
7%
Aaron Judge 33%
Bobby Witt Jr. 21%
Cal Raleigh 14%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 10%
$42,470 Vol.
$42,470 Vol.
Aaron Judge
33%
Bobby Witt Jr.
21%
Cal Raleigh
14%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
10%
Yordan Alvarez
9%
Julio Rodriguez
9%
Mike Trout
7%
Corey Seager
6%
Jose Ramirez
5%
Gunnar Henderson
7%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 18, 2026, 10:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Aaron Judge tops trader consensus for 2026 AL MVP at 34.5% implied probability, anchored by his 2025 AL-leading 10.1 WAR, .331 batting title, and sustained power output amid Yankees' early-season contention in the AL East. Bobby Witt Jr. trails at 21.0%, buoyed by his elite 8.0 WAR last year—second only to Judge among hitters—with Royals holding steady at 4-4 in the AL Central, showcasing his speed-power blend and defensive prowess at shortstop. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (10.0%) and Yordan Alvarez (8.8%) gain from Blue Jays and Astros' projected playoff pushes, while Julio Rodriguez (7.5%) and Cal Raleigh (7.0%) reflect Mariners' hot start and Raleigh's catcher scarcity value. No major injuries or Week 1 surprises have shifted markets significantly from preseason projections.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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