Recent polling for Pernambuco’s October 2026 gubernatorial election shows incumbent Raquel Lyra (PSD) holding a narrow edge or statistical tie with João Campos (PSB) in first-round scenarios, with Lyra often ahead in second-round head-to-heads. Lyra’s PSD convention recently formalized her re-election bid, while Campos’s PSB entry and broad coalition building have consolidated the main opposition. Multiple July–August surveys, including Datafolha and Genial/Quaest, place Lyra between 43–48% and Campos between 37–43%, with Ivan Moraes (PSOL) and remaining candidates registering minimal support. Traders price Lyra highest, reflecting her incumbency, statewide name recognition, and consistent polling position, while Campos’s lower share aligns with the competitive but trailing position shown in the latest voter-intention data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertRaquel Lyra 68%
João Campos 30%
Ivan Moraes <1%
$25,901 Vol.
$25,901 Vol.
4. Okt. 2026
Raquel Lyra
68%
João Campos
30%
Ivan Moraes
<1%
Raquel Lyra 68%
João Campos 30%
Ivan Moraes <1%
$25,901 Vol.
$25,901 Vol.
4. Okt. 2026
Raquel Lyra
$11,485 Vol.
68%
João Campos
$12,265 Vol.
30%
Ivan Moraes
$2,151 Vol.
<1%
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling for Pernambuco’s October 2026 gubernatorial election shows incumbent Raquel Lyra (PSD) holding a narrow edge or statistical tie with João Campos (PSB) in first-round scenarios, with Lyra often ahead in second-round head-to-heads. Lyra’s PSD convention recently formalized her re-election bid, while Campos’s PSB entry and broad coalition building have consolidated the main opposition. Multiple July–August surveys, including Datafolha and Genial/Quaest, place Lyra between 43–48% and Campos between 37–43%, with Ivan Moraes (PSOL) and remaining candidates registering minimal support. Traders price Lyra highest, reflecting her incumbency, statewide name recognition, and consistent polling position, while Campos’s lower share aligns with the competitive but trailing position shown in the latest voter-intention data.
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Markt eröffnet: Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Volumen
$25,901Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling for Pernambuco’s October 2026 gubernatorial election shows incumbent Raquel Lyra (PSD) holding a narrow edge or statistical tie with João Campos (PSB) in first-round scenarios, with Lyra often ahead in second-round head-to-heads. Lyra’s PSD convention recently formalized her re-election bid, while Campos’s PSB entry and broad coalition building have consolidated the main opposition. Multiple July–August surveys, including Datafolha and Genial/Quaest, place Lyra between 43–48% and Campos between 37–43%, with Ivan Moraes (PSOL) and remaining candidates registering minimal support. Traders price Lyra highest, reflecting her incumbency, statewide name recognition, and consistent polling position, while Campos’s lower share aligns with the competitive but trailing position shown in the latest voter-intention data.
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$25,901Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Pernambuco’s October 2026 gubernatorial election shows incumbent Raquel Lyra (PSD) holding a narrow edge or statistical tie with João Campos (PSB) in first-round scenarios, with Lyra often ahead in second-round head-to-heads. Lyra’s PSD convention recently formalized her re-election bid, while Campos’s PSB entry and broad coalition building have consolidated the main opposition. Multiple July–August surveys, including Datafolha and Genial/Quaest, place Lyra between 43–48% and Campos between 37–43%, with Ivan Moraes (PSOL) and remaining candidates registering minimal support. Traders price Lyra highest, reflecting her incumbency, statewide name recognition, and consistent polling position, while Campos’s lower share aligns with the competitive but trailing position shown in the latest voter-intention data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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