The People's Bank of China has maintained its benchmark Loan Prime Rates at 3.00% and 3.50% through August 2026, with the seven-day reverse repo rate steady at 1.40%, reflecting a data-dependent approach amid uneven growth, resilient exports, and subdued domestic demand. Recent official statements emphasize structural tools, liquidity management via overnight operations, and currency stability over broad benchmark adjustments, consistent with the removal of explicit easing language in policy reports. Trader consensus on no change by September 30 aligns with this steady posture and limited scheduled decision windows. A surprise reduction remains possible if incoming data shows sharper weakness in consumption or investment, though current pricing assigns low probability to such an outcome within the narrow remaining timeframe.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertÄnderung des Zinssatzes der People's Bank of China bis zum 30. September?
Keine Änderung 95.5%
Senkung 4.6%
Erhöhung <1%
$53,478 Vol.
$53,478 Vol.
Erhöhung
<1%
Keine Änderung
96%
Senkung
5%
Keine Änderung 95.5%
Senkung 4.6%
Erhöhung <1%
$53,478 Vol.
$53,478 Vol.
Erhöhung
<1%
Keine Änderung
96%
Senkung
5%
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 30, 2026, 9:52 PM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...The People's Bank of China has maintained its benchmark Loan Prime Rates at 3.00% and 3.50% through August 2026, with the seven-day reverse repo rate steady at 1.40%, reflecting a data-dependent approach amid uneven growth, resilient exports, and subdued domestic demand. Recent official statements emphasize structural tools, liquidity management via overnight operations, and currency stability over broad benchmark adjustments, consistent with the removal of explicit easing language in policy reports. Trader consensus on no change by September 30 aligns with this steady posture and limited scheduled decision windows. A surprise reduction remains possible if incoming data shows sharper weakness in consumption or investment, though current pricing assigns low probability to such an outcome within the narrow remaining timeframe.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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