On Jan 10 Bloomberg Intelligence predicted there would be over $4 billion of inflows in spot Bitcoin ETFs on the first day of trading (https://x.com/BBGIntelligence/status/1745187694928376233).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there are $4 billion or more of combined inflows into bitcoin spot ETFs on their first day of trading. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."

This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible sources. This market may stay open until the value of inflows is known.