Name: Meinung FDV über ___ einen Tag nach dem Start?
Start: 2025-12-30T20:37:33.967261Z
End: 2028-01-01T05:00:00Z

Use the internal polymarket geolocation service.

poly_geo

Improved notification preferences and types.

notifications_v2

funkit_deposit

funkit_withdraw

authenticated_book_ws

Improved in-game view for sports markets.

mobile_sports_overlay_v2

async_order_submission

Enable updates from the sports websocket.

sports_websocket

Show/hide language selector in navigation

language_selector

Auto-detect and redirect based on browser language

auto_locale_detection

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opinion's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.

The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.

"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opinion (https://x.com/opinionlabsxyz) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

500 Mio. $

1 Mrd. $

2 Mrd. $

3 Mrd. $

4 Mrd. USD

5 Mrd. $

Meinung FDV über ___ einen Tag nach dem Start?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if BIP-360 is implemented on the Bitcoin network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source will be the Bitcoin blockchain, in addition to a consensus of credible reporting.

Bitcoin BIP-360 implemented in 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if MicroStrategy Incorporated or Michael Saylor officially announce that the company’s total Bitcoin holdings are equal to or greater than the number specified in the title at any point by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor as to their total BTC holdings.

For reference, MicroStrategy’s reported BTC holdings can be tracked at: https://www.strategy.com/purchases

Will MicroStrategy announce holding 740k+ BTC by February 28?

Wird MicroStrategy bis zum 31. Dezember 2026 bekannt geben, dass sie über 800.000+ BTC halten?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction at any time between January 9, 2026, 1:00 PM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market is Arkham’s Intel Explorer, specifically the entity page for Satoshi Nakamoto available at https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/satoshi-nakamoto

If Arkham becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible sources.




Wird Satoshi im Jahr 2026 irgendwelche Bitcoin bewegen?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT has a final "Low" price below MicroStrategy’s reported “Avg BTC Cost” at any point between January 21, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.

MicroStrategy’s average buy price will be taken from the “Avg BTC Cost” value shown in its publicly reported Bitcoin holdings table available at https://www.strategy.com/purchases

Only Binance BTC/USDT data will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or timeframes will not be considered.

Meinung FDV über ___ einen Tag nach dem Start?

500 Mio. $
$297,991 Umsatz
93%

1 Mrd. $
$701,988 Umsatz
64%

2 Mrd. $
$355,725 Umsatz
26%

3 Mrd. $
$113,456 Umsatz
9%

4 Mrd. USD
$41,516 Umsatz
3%

5 Mrd. $
$33,621 Umsatz
1%

Marktkontext

Meinung FDV über ___ einen Tag nach dem Start?

Regeln

Meinung FDV über ___ einen Tag nach dem Start?

Marktkontext

Meinung FDV über ___ einen Tag nach dem Start?

Über

Meinung FDV über ___ einen Tag nach dem Start?

500 Mio. $$297,991 Umsatz93%Kaufen Ja92.8¢Kaufen Nein7.5¢

1 Mrd. $$701,988 Umsatz64%Kaufen Ja65¢Kaufen Nein37¢

2 Mrd. $$355,725 Umsatz26%Kaufen Ja27¢Kaufen Nein75¢

3 Mrd. $$113,456 Umsatz9%Kaufen Ja9¢Kaufen Nein92¢

4 Mrd. USD$41,516 Umsatz3%Kaufen Ja3.1¢Kaufen Nein97.8¢

5 Mrd. $$33,621 Umsatz1%Kaufen Ja1.5¢Kaufen Nein98.6¢

Marktkontext

Meinung FDV über ___ einen Tag nach dem Start?

Regeln

Meinung FDV über ___ einen Tag nach dem Start?

Marktkontext

Meinung FDV über ___ einen Tag nach dem Start?

Über

500 Mio. $
$297,991 Umsatz
93%

1 Mrd. $
$701,988 Umsatz
64%

2 Mrd. $
$355,725 Umsatz
26%

3 Mrd. $
$113,456 Umsatz
9%

4 Mrd. USD
$41,516 Umsatz
3%

5 Mrd. $
$33,621 Umsatz
1%