Ohio's 11th Congressional District, a solidly Democratic stronghold with a partisan voting index of D+30, favors incumbent Rep. Shontel Brown, driving trader consensus to 93.5% for the Democratic Party in the November 5 general election. Brown's primary victory over progressive challenger Nina Turner in March solidified her position, followed by strong fundraising—over $1 million raised versus under $50,000 for Republican nominee Ernie Hines—and endorsements from labor unions and the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee. Historical election results show Democrats winning by 30+ points, with no recent polls indicating a competitive race amid high early voting turnout in Cuyahoga County. While a massive Republican national wave, Brown scandal, or GOP surge in absentee ballots could theoretically shift odds, such upsets face steep barriers in this safe blue seat.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertOH-11 Wahlsieger
OH-11 Wahlsieger
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Demokratische Partei
94%
Republikanische Partei
7%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Demokratische Partei
$0 Vol.
94%
Republikanische Partei
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ohio's 11th Congressional District, a solidly Democratic stronghold with a partisan voting index of D+30, favors incumbent Rep. Shontel Brown, driving trader consensus to 93.5% for the Democratic Party in the November 5 general election. Brown's primary victory over progressive challenger Nina Turner in March solidified her position, followed by strong fundraising—over $1 million raised versus under $50,000 for Republican nominee Ernie Hines—and endorsements from labor unions and the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee. Historical election results show Democrats winning by 30+ points, with no recent polls indicating a competitive race amid high early voting turnout in Cuyahoga County. While a massive Republican national wave, Brown scandal, or GOP surge in absentee ballots could theoretically shift odds, such upsets face steep barriers in this safe blue seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
Nov 3, 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ohio's 11th Congressional District, a solidly Democratic stronghold with a partisan voting index of D+30, favors incumbent Rep. Shontel Brown, driving trader consensus to 93.5% for the Democratic Party in the November 5 general election. Brown's primary victory over progressive challenger Nina Turner in March solidified her position, followed by strong fundraising—over $1 million raised versus under $50,000 for Republican nominee Ernie Hines—and endorsements from labor unions and the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee. Historical election results show Democrats winning by 30+ points, with no recent polls indicating a competitive race amid high early voting turnout in Cuyahoga County. While a massive Republican national wave, Brown scandal, or GOP surge in absentee ballots could theoretically shift odds, such upsets face steep barriers in this safe blue seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$0Enddatum
Nov 3, 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ohio's 11th Congressional District, a solidly Democratic stronghold with a partisan voting index of D+30, favors incumbent Rep. Shontel Brown, driving trader consensus to 93.5% for the Democratic Party in the November 5 general election. Brown's primary victory over progressive challenger Nina Turner in March solidified her position, followed by strong fundraising—over $1 million raised versus under $50,000 for Republican nominee Ernie Hines—and endorsements from labor unions and the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee. Historical election results show Democrats winning by 30+ points, with no recent polls indicating a competitive race amid high early voting turnout in Cuyahoga County. While a massive Republican national wave, Brown scandal, or GOP surge in absentee ballots could theoretically shift odds, such upsets face steep barriers in this safe blue seat.
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