The district’s D+10 partisan voter index and Democratic incumbent Joseph Morelle’s 2024 reelection margin of roughly 22 points anchor trader consensus around a continued Democratic hold in the November 2026 general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid Democratic, reflecting consistent voter patterns in Monroe and surrounding counties and limited Republican recruitment or polling momentum. The June 23 Democratic primary, featuring Morelle against several challengers, has yet to alter general-election positioning. An unusually strong Republican nominee, a pronounced national midterm swing, or an unexpected primary outcome could still narrow the margin, though historical results in comparable districts indicate these factors rarely overcome the structural advantage reflected in current pricing.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNY-25 Wahlsieger
NY-25 Wahlsieger
$25,076 Vol.
$25,076 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
94%
Republikanische Partei
4%
$25,076 Vol.
$25,076 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$14,992 Vol.
94%
Republikanische Partei
$10,085 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district’s D+10 partisan voter index and Democratic incumbent Joseph Morelle’s 2024 reelection margin of roughly 22 points anchor trader consensus around a continued Democratic hold in the November 2026 general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid Democratic, reflecting consistent voter patterns in Monroe and surrounding counties and limited Republican recruitment or polling momentum. The June 23 Democratic primary, featuring Morelle against several challengers, has yet to alter general-election positioning. An unusually strong Republican nominee, a pronounced national midterm swing, or an unexpected primary outcome could still narrow the margin, though historical results in comparable districts indicate these factors rarely overcome the structural advantage reflected in current pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$25,076Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district’s D+10 partisan voter index and Democratic incumbent Joseph Morelle’s 2024 reelection margin of roughly 22 points anchor trader consensus around a continued Democratic hold in the November 2026 general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid Democratic, reflecting consistent voter patterns in Monroe and surrounding counties and limited Republican recruitment or polling momentum. The June 23 Democratic primary, featuring Morelle against several challengers, has yet to alter general-election positioning. An unusually strong Republican nominee, a pronounced national midterm swing, or an unexpected primary outcome could still narrow the margin, though historical results in comparable districts indicate these factors rarely overcome the structural advantage reflected in current pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$25,076Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district’s D+10 partisan voter index and Democratic incumbent Joseph Morelle’s 2024 reelection margin of roughly 22 points anchor trader consensus around a continued Democratic hold in the November 2026 general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid Democratic, reflecting consistent voter patterns in Monroe and surrounding counties and limited Republican recruitment or polling momentum. The June 23 Democratic primary, featuring Morelle against several challengers, has yet to alter general-election positioning. An unusually strong Republican nominee, a pronounced national midterm swing, or an unexpected primary outcome could still narrow the margin, though historical results in comparable districts indicate these factors rarely overcome the structural advantage reflected in current pricing.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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