New York’s 13th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic advantage rooted in its urban demographics across Upper Manhattan and the Bronx, where voter registration and turnout patterns have produced consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32 and the absence of any credible Republican challenger for the November general election. Incumbent Representative Adriano Espaillat faces a June 23 Democratic primary against multiple opponents, yet the general-election outcome hinges overwhelmingly on the Democratic nominee. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical base rates for safely Democratic House districts, though late developments such as a major scandal or health event involving the eventual nominee could still shift probabilities before November.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNY-13 Wahlsieger
NY-13 Wahlsieger
$32,464 Vol.
$32,464 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
96%
Republikanische Partei
5%
$32,464 Vol.
$32,464 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$20,422 Vol.
96%
Republikanische Partei
$12,042 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 13th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic advantage rooted in its urban demographics across Upper Manhattan and the Bronx, where voter registration and turnout patterns have produced consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32 and the absence of any credible Republican challenger for the November general election. Incumbent Representative Adriano Espaillat faces a June 23 Democratic primary against multiple opponents, yet the general-election outcome hinges overwhelmingly on the Democratic nominee. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical base rates for safely Democratic House districts, though late developments such as a major scandal or health event involving the eventual nominee could still shift probabilities before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$32,464Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 13th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic advantage rooted in its urban demographics across Upper Manhattan and the Bronx, where voter registration and turnout patterns have produced consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32 and the absence of any credible Republican challenger for the November general election. Incumbent Representative Adriano Espaillat faces a June 23 Democratic primary against multiple opponents, yet the general-election outcome hinges overwhelmingly on the Democratic nominee. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical base rates for safely Democratic House districts, though late developments such as a major scandal or health event involving the eventual nominee could still shift probabilities before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$32,464Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York’s 13th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic advantage rooted in its urban demographics across Upper Manhattan and the Bronx, where voter registration and turnout patterns have produced consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32 and the absence of any credible Republican challenger for the November general election. Incumbent Representative Adriano Espaillat faces a June 23 Democratic primary against multiple opponents, yet the general-election outcome hinges overwhelmingly on the Democratic nominee. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical base rates for safely Democratic House districts, though late developments such as a major scandal or health event involving the eventual nominee could still shift probabilities before November.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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