New York’s 13th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+32 Partisan Voter Index and consistent performance in recent presidential elections. Incumbent Representative Adriano Espaillat faces a June 23 Democratic primary against multiple challengers, yet nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid Democratic with no credible Republican candidates positioned for the November general election. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors, as the eventual Democratic nominee is expected to prevail regardless of primary outcome. Scenarios that could alter the result remain limited to an unforeseen late withdrawal, major scandal, or unusually strong Republican recruitment and funding that has not materialized to date.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNY-13 Wahlsieger
NY-13 Wahlsieger
$32,464 Vol.
$32,464 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
96%
Republikanische Partei
5%
$32,464 Vol.
$32,464 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$20,422 Vol.
96%
Republikanische Partei
$12,042 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 13th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+32 Partisan Voter Index and consistent performance in recent presidential elections. Incumbent Representative Adriano Espaillat faces a June 23 Democratic primary against multiple challengers, yet nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid Democratic with no credible Republican candidates positioned for the November general election. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors, as the eventual Democratic nominee is expected to prevail regardless of primary outcome. Scenarios that could alter the result remain limited to an unforeseen late withdrawal, major scandal, or unusually strong Republican recruitment and funding that has not materialized to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$32,464Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 13th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+32 Partisan Voter Index and consistent performance in recent presidential elections. Incumbent Representative Adriano Espaillat faces a June 23 Democratic primary against multiple challengers, yet nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid Democratic with no credible Republican candidates positioned for the November general election. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors, as the eventual Democratic nominee is expected to prevail regardless of primary outcome. Scenarios that could alter the result remain limited to an unforeseen late withdrawal, major scandal, or unusually strong Republican recruitment and funding that has not materialized to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$32,464Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York’s 13th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+32 Partisan Voter Index and consistent performance in recent presidential elections. Incumbent Representative Adriano Espaillat faces a June 23 Democratic primary against multiple challengers, yet nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid Democratic with no credible Republican candidates positioned for the November general election. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors, as the eventual Democratic nominee is expected to prevail regardless of primary outcome. Scenarios that could alter the result remain limited to an unforeseen late withdrawal, major scandal, or unusually strong Republican recruitment and funding that has not materialized to date.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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