Incumbent Republican Nicole Malliotakis holds a commanding position in New York’s 11th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, as reflected in trader consensus. The district, encompassing Staten Island and portions of southern Brooklyn, carries a consistent Republican tilt reflected in its Partisan Voter Index and prior election margins. Multiple nonpartisan rating organizations classify the seat as solid or safe Republican. Malliotakis won her uncontested primary while Democrat Michael DeCillis secured his party’s nomination in June. An earlier redistricting challenge that reached the U.S. Supreme Court was stayed in March 2026, preserving the existing lines. Absent a major unforeseen event such as a candidate withdrawal or significant national political realignment, the structural and incumbency advantages continue to anchor the implied probability.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNY-11 Wahlsieger
NY-11 Wahlsieger
$26,096 Vol.
$26,096 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
94%
Demokratische Partei
7%
$26,096 Vol.
$26,096 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$12,843 Vol.
94%
Demokratische Partei
$13,253 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nicole Malliotakis holds a commanding position in New York’s 11th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, as reflected in trader consensus. The district, encompassing Staten Island and portions of southern Brooklyn, carries a consistent Republican tilt reflected in its Partisan Voter Index and prior election margins. Multiple nonpartisan rating organizations classify the seat as solid or safe Republican. Malliotakis won her uncontested primary while Democrat Michael DeCillis secured his party’s nomination in June. An earlier redistricting challenge that reached the U.S. Supreme Court was stayed in March 2026, preserving the existing lines. Absent a major unforeseen event such as a candidate withdrawal or significant national political realignment, the structural and incumbency advantages continue to anchor the implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volumen
$26,096Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nicole Malliotakis holds a commanding position in New York’s 11th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, as reflected in trader consensus. The district, encompassing Staten Island and portions of southern Brooklyn, carries a consistent Republican tilt reflected in its Partisan Voter Index and prior election margins. Multiple nonpartisan rating organizations classify the seat as solid or safe Republican. Malliotakis won her uncontested primary while Democrat Michael DeCillis secured his party’s nomination in June. An earlier redistricting challenge that reached the U.S. Supreme Court was stayed in March 2026, preserving the existing lines. Absent a major unforeseen event such as a candidate withdrawal or significant national political realignment, the structural and incumbency advantages continue to anchor the implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$26,096Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nicole Malliotakis holds a commanding position in New York’s 11th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, as reflected in trader consensus. The district, encompassing Staten Island and portions of southern Brooklyn, carries a consistent Republican tilt reflected in its Partisan Voter Index and prior election margins. Multiple nonpartisan rating organizations classify the seat as solid or safe Republican. Malliotakis won her uncontested primary while Democrat Michael DeCillis secured his party’s nomination in June. An earlier redistricting challenge that reached the U.S. Supreme Court was stayed in March 2026, preserving the existing lines. Absent a major unforeseen event such as a candidate withdrawal or significant national political realignment, the structural and incumbency advantages continue to anchor the implied probability.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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