Republican incumbent Nicole Malliotakis holds New York’s 11th congressional district, a Staten Island and southern Brooklyn seat rated R+10 on the Partisan Voter Index after delivering her 64.1 percent in 2024. All major forecasters classify the race Solid or Safe Republican. A March 2026 Supreme Court stay preserved the current district lines following lower-court redistricting challenges, removing the primary source of uncertainty. Democratic primary candidates remain low-profile ahead of the June 23 contest, with limited polling or fundraising indicating a viable general-election threat. Trader consensus at 87 percent Republican reflects the district’s structural tilt, Malliotakis’s incumbency advantage, and the absence of recent developments that would shift the established outlook.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNY-11 Wahlsieger
NY-11 Wahlsieger
$14,347 Vol.
$14,347 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
87%
Demokratische Partei
11%
$14,347 Vol.
$14,347 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$7,908 Vol.
87%
Demokratische Partei
$6,440 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Nicole Malliotakis holds New York’s 11th congressional district, a Staten Island and southern Brooklyn seat rated R+10 on the Partisan Voter Index after delivering her 64.1 percent in 2024. All major forecasters classify the race Solid or Safe Republican. A March 2026 Supreme Court stay preserved the current district lines following lower-court redistricting challenges, removing the primary source of uncertainty. Democratic primary candidates remain low-profile ahead of the June 23 contest, with limited polling or fundraising indicating a viable general-election threat. Trader consensus at 87 percent Republican reflects the district’s structural tilt, Malliotakis’s incumbency advantage, and the absence of recent developments that would shift the established outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volumen
$14,347Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Nicole Malliotakis holds New York’s 11th congressional district, a Staten Island and southern Brooklyn seat rated R+10 on the Partisan Voter Index after delivering her 64.1 percent in 2024. All major forecasters classify the race Solid or Safe Republican. A March 2026 Supreme Court stay preserved the current district lines following lower-court redistricting challenges, removing the primary source of uncertainty. Democratic primary candidates remain low-profile ahead of the June 23 contest, with limited polling or fundraising indicating a viable general-election threat. Trader consensus at 87 percent Republican reflects the district’s structural tilt, Malliotakis’s incumbency advantage, and the absence of recent developments that would shift the established outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$14,347Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Nicole Malliotakis holds New York’s 11th congressional district, a Staten Island and southern Brooklyn seat rated R+10 on the Partisan Voter Index after delivering her 64.1 percent in 2024. All major forecasters classify the race Solid or Safe Republican. A March 2026 Supreme Court stay preserved the current district lines following lower-court redistricting challenges, removing the primary source of uncertainty. Democratic primary candidates remain low-profile ahead of the June 23 contest, with limited polling or fundraising indicating a viable general-election threat. Trader consensus at 87 percent Republican reflects the district’s structural tilt, Malliotakis’s incumbency advantage, and the absence of recent developments that would shift the established outlook.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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