The closely matched trader consensus in the NY-03 House race reflects the district’s moderate North Shore Nassau County and northeast Queens profile, where incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi won narrowly in 2024. Both parties face contested June 23 primaries that will shape nominee strength ahead of the November general election, with limited early polling or spending data leaving room for movement. Expert ratings classify the seat as Lean Democratic, yet the possibility of a well-funded Republican challenger could narrow the gap, especially amid broader midterm dynamics. No major late-breaking developments have shifted positioning in recent weeks, keeping implied probabilities tight until primary results and fall campaign activity provide clearer signals.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNY-03 Wahlsieger
NY-03 Wahlsieger
NEU
NEU
4. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
42%
Demokratische Partei
53%
NEU
NEU
4. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$140 Vol.
42%
Demokratische Partei
$785 Vol.
53%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The closely matched trader consensus in the NY-03 House race reflects the district’s moderate North Shore Nassau County and northeast Queens profile, where incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi won narrowly in 2024. Both parties face contested June 23 primaries that will shape nominee strength ahead of the November general election, with limited early polling or spending data leaving room for movement. Expert ratings classify the seat as Lean Democratic, yet the possibility of a well-funded Republican challenger could narrow the gap, especially amid broader midterm dynamics. No major late-breaking developments have shifted positioning in recent weeks, keeping implied probabilities tight until primary results and fall campaign activity provide clearer signals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
Volumen
$925Enddatum
4. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The closely matched trader consensus in the NY-03 House race reflects the district’s moderate North Shore Nassau County and northeast Queens profile, where incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi won narrowly in 2024. Both parties face contested June 23 primaries that will shape nominee strength ahead of the November general election, with limited early polling or spending data leaving room for movement. Expert ratings classify the seat as Lean Democratic, yet the possibility of a well-funded Republican challenger could narrow the gap, especially amid broader midterm dynamics. No major late-breaking developments have shifted positioning in recent weeks, keeping implied probabilities tight until primary results and fall campaign activity provide clearer signals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$925Enddatum
4. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The closely matched trader consensus in the NY-03 House race reflects the district’s moderate North Shore Nassau County and northeast Queens profile, where incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi won narrowly in 2024. Both parties face contested June 23 primaries that will shape nominee strength ahead of the November general election, with limited early polling or spending data leaving room for movement. Expert ratings classify the seat as Lean Democratic, yet the possibility of a well-funded Republican challenger could narrow the gap, especially amid broader midterm dynamics. No major late-breaking developments have shifted positioning in recent weeks, keeping implied probabilities tight until primary results and fall campaign activity provide clearer signals.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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