Incumbent Democrat Susie Lee holds a clear edge in trader consensus at 67.5% implied probability to win Nevada's 3rd Congressional District House seat, reflecting her strong incumbency advantage in a D+2 battleground district and superior fundraising. Recent polls, including Emerson College's October survey showing Lee at 48% to Republican Mickey Ellis's 46%, underscore a competitive race, but Ellis's campaign suffered from a late-October scandal over decade-old blog posts praising Taliban governance aspects, prompting an apology and boosting Lee's position. Early voting trends in Clark County suburbs favor Democrats, with 538 forecasts giving Lee over 80% win odds amid national House battleground dynamics. The November 5 election remains the resolution trigger.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertNV-03 Wahlsieger
NV-03 Wahlsieger
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Demokratische Partei
75%
Republikanische Partei
23%
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Demokratische Partei
$0 Vol.
75%
Republikanische Partei
$0 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Susie Lee holds a clear edge in trader consensus at 67.5% implied probability to win Nevada's 3rd Congressional District House seat, reflecting her strong incumbency advantage in a D+2 battleground district and superior fundraising. Recent polls, including Emerson College's October survey showing Lee at 48% to Republican Mickey Ellis's 46%, underscore a competitive race, but Ellis's campaign suffered from a late-October scandal over decade-old blog posts praising Taliban governance aspects, prompting an apology and boosting Lee's position. Early voting trends in Clark County suburbs favor Democrats, with 538 forecasts giving Lee over 80% win odds amid national House battleground dynamics. The November 5 election remains the resolution trigger.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
Nov 4, 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Susie Lee holds a clear edge in trader consensus at 67.5% implied probability to win Nevada's 3rd Congressional District House seat, reflecting her strong incumbency advantage in a D+2 battleground district and superior fundraising. Recent polls, including Emerson College's October survey showing Lee at 48% to Republican Mickey Ellis's 46%, underscore a competitive race, but Ellis's campaign suffered from a late-October scandal over decade-old blog posts praising Taliban governance aspects, prompting an apology and boosting Lee's position. Early voting trends in Clark County suburbs favor Democrats, with 538 forecasts giving Lee over 80% win odds amid national House battleground dynamics. The November 5 election remains the resolution trigger.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$0Enddatum
Nov 4, 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Susie Lee holds a clear edge in trader consensus at 67.5% implied probability to win Nevada's 3rd Congressional District House seat, reflecting her strong incumbency advantage in a D+2 battleground district and superior fundraising. Recent polls, including Emerson College's October survey showing Lee at 48% to Republican Mickey Ellis's 46%, underscore a competitive race, but Ellis's campaign suffered from a late-October scandal over decade-old blog posts praising Taliban governance aspects, prompting an apology and boosting Lee's position. Early voting trends in Clark County suburbs favor Democrats, with 538 forecasts giving Lee over 80% win odds amid national House battleground dynamics. The November 5 election remains the resolution trigger.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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