Der nächste britische Finanzminister im Jahr 2026?
John Healey 99.6%
Yvette Cooper <1%
Ed Miliband <1%
Torsten Bell <1%
$1,526,186 Vol.
$1,526,186 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Ed Miliband
$368,422 Vol.
Nein
Torsten Bell
$27,244 Vol.
Nein
Pat McFadden
$126,048 Vol.
Nein
Darren Jones
$55,395 Vol.
Nein
Wes Streeting
$178,348 Vol.
Nein
Yvette Cooper
$159,129 Vol.
Nein
Kein nächster Schatzkanzler im Jahr 2026
$70,059 Vol.
Nein
Miatta Fahnbulleh
$15,121 Vol.
Nein
Shabana Mahmood
$391,487 Vol.
Nein
Louise Haigh
$26,261 Vol.
Nein
John Healey
$108,671 Vol.
Ja
John Healey 99.6%
Yvette Cooper <1%
Ed Miliband <1%
Torsten Bell <1%
$1,526,186 Vol.
$1,526,186 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Ed Miliband
$368,422 Vol.
Nein
Torsten Bell
$27,244 Vol.
Nein
Pat McFadden
$126,048 Vol.
Nein
Darren Jones
$55,395 Vol.
Nein
Wes Streeting
$178,348 Vol.
Nein
Yvette Cooper
$159,129 Vol.
Nein
Kein nächster Schatzkanzler im Jahr 2026
$70,059 Vol.
Nein
Miatta Fahnbulleh
$15,121 Vol.
Nein
Shabana Mahmood
$391,487 Vol.
Nein
Louise Haigh
$26,261 Vol.
Nein
John Healey
$108,671 Vol.
Ja
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Chancellor of the Exchequer will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Chancellor of the Exchequer is appointed, or Rachel Reeves is re-appointed as Chancellor of the Exchequer, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Chancellor in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Speculation over a potential Labour leadership transition and cabinet reshuffle in 2026 is keeping the contest for the next Chancellor of the Exchequer tightly matched among multiple figures. Recent local election setbacks have intensified pressure on Prime Minister Keir Starmer, prompting discussions of successors and portfolio changes that could elevate candidates such as Ed Miliband or others currently in or near Treasury-related roles. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with no single contender pulling ahead amid variables like economic performance, party internal dynamics, and any formal announcements on ministerial appointments. A confirmed leadership vote, Spring Statement fallout, or targeted reshuffle would likely widen gaps by clarifying pathways for frontrunners versus those seen as less aligned with fiscal priorities.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Chancellor of the Exchequer will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Chancellor of the Exchequer is appointed, or Rachel Reeves is re-appointed as Chancellor of the Exchequer, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Chancellor in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Chancellor of the Exchequer will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Chancellor of the Exchequer is appointed, or Rachel Reeves is re-appointed as Chancellor of the Exchequer, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Chancellor in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Speculation over a potential Labour leadership transition and cabinet reshuffle in 2026 is keeping the contest for the next Chancellor of the Exchequer tightly matched among multiple figures. Recent local election setbacks have intensified pressure on Prime Minister Keir Starmer, prompting discussions of successors and portfolio changes that could elevate candidates such as Ed Miliband or others currently in or near Treasury-related roles. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with no single contender pulling ahead amid variables like economic performance, party internal dynamics, and any formal announcements on ministerial appointments. A confirmed leadership vote, Spring Statement fallout, or targeted reshuffle would likely widen gaps by clarifying pathways for frontrunners versus those seen as less aligned with fiscal priorities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Jul 20 2026
Andy Burnham officially becomes Prime Minister, expected to announce cabinet including Chancellor
Shabana Mahmood plunges to 73%16%
Andy Burnham was formally appointed Prime Minister and was expected to announce his cabinet appointments, including the Chancellor of the Exchequer, imminently. Market prices reflected this with Shabana Mahmood maintaining a strong lead as the likely appointee.
Jul 15 2026
Ed Miliband's candidacy for Chancellor weakens amid business and union opposition
Ed Miliband plunges to 3%48%
Ed Miliband, initially a frontrunner for Chancellor, faced growing opposition from business leaders and trade unions concerned about his net-zero policies and fiscal discipline. Reports suggested Burnham might appoint Miliband as Foreign Secretary instead, reducing his chances for the Treasury role and causing his market odds to drop significantly.
Jul 15 2026
Reports suggest Andy Burnham to appoint Shabana Mahmood as Chancellor
Shabana Mahmood surges to 86%67%
Multiple media reports indicated that Andy Burnham, soon to be Prime Minister, was set to name Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood as the next Chancellor of the Exchequer. This news caused a sharp rise in Mahmood's market price, reflecting strong market confidence in her appointment.
Jul 14 2026
Market survey shows Wes Streeting favored by UK markets over Ed Miliband for Chancellor role
Wes Streeting dips to 1%3%
A Bloomberg Markets Live Pulse survey of market participants showed Wes Streeting as the preferred candidate for Chancellor among UK markets, with Ed Miliband seen as the least market-friendly choice. This survey influenced market sentiment, contributing to Streeting's relative support and Miliband's decline in odds.
Jul 14 2026
Andy Burnham secures Labour leadership, set to become UK Prime Minister on July 20
Shabana Mahmood jumps to 87%9%
Andy Burnham was confirmed as Labour leader with overwhelming support, clearing the way for him to become Prime Minister. This political development solidified expectations that he would appoint his preferred Chancellor, boosting market confidence in Mahmood.
Jul 14 2026
Reports emerge that Andy Burnham will appoint Shabana Mahmood as Chancellor
Shabana Mahmood surges to 86%67%
Multiple credible media reports indicated that incoming Prime Minister Andy Burnham is expected to name Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood as the next Chancellor of the Exchequer. This news caused a sharp increase in market confidence for Mahmood, reflecting her perceived alignment with Burnham's agenda and positive reception by financial markets.
Jul 10 2026
Shabana Mahmood emerges as Burnham’s likely pick for Chancellor amid mixed reactions
Shabana Mahmood surges to 87%79%
Reports highlighted Burnham's preference for Mahmood as Chancellor, citing her political alignment and operational capability, despite some parliamentary opposition to her immigration reforms. This reinforced market confidence in Mahmood's appointment.
Jun 26 2026
Reports emerge that Andy Burnham is expected to appoint Shabana Mahmood as Chancellor
Shabana Mahmood surges to 87%81%
Multiple news sources reported that Andy Burnham, poised to become Prime Minister, was likely to name Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood as the next Chancellor of the Exchequer, signaling a shift from other contenders like Ed Miliband. This news caused a significant rise in Mahmood's market probability.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Chancellor of the Exchequer will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Chancellor of the Exchequer is appointed, or Rachel Reeves is re-appointed as Chancellor of the Exchequer, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Chancellor in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Speculation over a potential Labour leadership transition and cabinet reshuffle in 2026 is keeping the contest for the next Chancellor of the Exchequer tightly matched among multiple figures. Recent local election setbacks have intensified pressure on Prime Minister Keir Starmer, prompting discussions of successors and portfolio changes that could elevate candidates such as Ed Miliband or others currently in or near Treasury-related roles. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with no single contender pulling ahead amid variables like economic performance, party internal dynamics, and any formal announcements on ministerial appointments. A confirmed leadership vote, Spring Statement fallout, or targeted reshuffle would likely widen gaps by clarifying pathways for frontrunners versus those seen as less aligned with fiscal priorities.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Chancellor of the Exchequer will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Chancellor of the Exchequer is appointed, or Rachel Reeves is re-appointed as Chancellor of the Exchequer, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Chancellor in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Chancellor of the Exchequer will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Chancellor of the Exchequer is appointed, or Rachel Reeves is re-appointed as Chancellor of the Exchequer, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Chancellor in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Speculation over a potential Labour leadership transition and cabinet reshuffle in 2026 is keeping the contest for the next Chancellor of the Exchequer tightly matched among multiple figures. Recent local election setbacks have intensified pressure on Prime Minister Keir Starmer, prompting discussions of successors and portfolio changes that could elevate candidates such as Ed Miliband or others currently in or near Treasury-related roles. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with no single contender pulling ahead amid variables like economic performance, party internal dynamics, and any formal announcements on ministerial appointments. A confirmed leadership vote, Spring Statement fallout, or targeted reshuffle would likely widen gaps by clarifying pathways for frontrunners versus those seen as less aligned with fiscal priorities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Jul 20 2026
Andy Burnham officially becomes Prime Minister, expected to announce cabinet including Chancellor
Shabana Mahmood plunges to 73%16%
Andy Burnham was formally appointed Prime Minister and was expected to announce his cabinet appointments, including the Chancellor of the Exchequer, imminently. Market prices reflected this with Shabana Mahmood maintaining a strong lead as the likely appointee.
Jul 15 2026
Ed Miliband's candidacy for Chancellor weakens amid business and union opposition
Ed Miliband plunges to 3%48%
Ed Miliband, initially a frontrunner for Chancellor, faced growing opposition from business leaders and trade unions concerned about his net-zero policies and fiscal discipline. Reports suggested Burnham might appoint Miliband as Foreign Secretary instead, reducing his chances for the Treasury role and causing his market odds to drop significantly.
Jul 15 2026
Reports suggest Andy Burnham to appoint Shabana Mahmood as Chancellor
Shabana Mahmood surges to 86%67%
Multiple media reports indicated that Andy Burnham, soon to be Prime Minister, was set to name Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood as the next Chancellor of the Exchequer. This news caused a sharp rise in Mahmood's market price, reflecting strong market confidence in her appointment.
Jul 14 2026
Market survey shows Wes Streeting favored by UK markets over Ed Miliband for Chancellor role
Wes Streeting dips to 1%3%
A Bloomberg Markets Live Pulse survey of market participants showed Wes Streeting as the preferred candidate for Chancellor among UK markets, with Ed Miliband seen as the least market-friendly choice. This survey influenced market sentiment, contributing to Streeting's relative support and Miliband's decline in odds.
Jul 14 2026
Andy Burnham secures Labour leadership, set to become UK Prime Minister on July 20
Shabana Mahmood jumps to 87%9%
Andy Burnham was confirmed as Labour leader with overwhelming support, clearing the way for him to become Prime Minister. This political development solidified expectations that he would appoint his preferred Chancellor, boosting market confidence in Mahmood.
Jul 14 2026
Reports emerge that Andy Burnham will appoint Shabana Mahmood as Chancellor
Shabana Mahmood surges to 86%67%
Multiple credible media reports indicated that incoming Prime Minister Andy Burnham is expected to name Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood as the next Chancellor of the Exchequer. This news caused a sharp increase in market confidence for Mahmood, reflecting her perceived alignment with Burnham's agenda and positive reception by financial markets.
Jul 10 2026
Shabana Mahmood emerges as Burnham’s likely pick for Chancellor amid mixed reactions
Shabana Mahmood surges to 87%79%
Reports highlighted Burnham's preference for Mahmood as Chancellor, citing her political alignment and operational capability, despite some parliamentary opposition to her immigration reforms. This reinforced market confidence in Mahmood's appointment.
Jun 26 2026
Reports emerge that Andy Burnham is expected to appoint Shabana Mahmood as Chancellor
Shabana Mahmood surges to 87%81%
Multiple news sources reported that Andy Burnham, poised to become Prime Minister, was likely to name Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood as the next Chancellor of the Exchequer, signaling a shift from other contenders like Ed Miliband. This news caused a significant rise in Mahmood's market probability.
„Der nächste britische Finanzminister im Jahr 2026?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 11 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „John Healey" mit 100%, gefolgt von „Ed Miliband" mit 0%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 100¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.
Stand heute hat „Der nächste britische Finanzminister im Jahr 2026?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $1.5 million generiert, seit der Markt am Jun 21, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.
Um auf „Der nächste britische Finanzminister im Jahr 2026?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 11 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.
Der aktuelle Favorit für „Der nächste britische Finanzminister im Jahr 2026?" ist „John Healey" mit 100%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Ed Miliband" mit 0%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.
Die Auflösungsregeln für „Der nächste britische Finanzminister im Jahr 2026?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.
Ja. Sie müssen nicht handeln, um informiert zu bleiben. Diese Seite dient als Live-Tracker für „Der nächste britische Finanzminister im Jahr 2026?". Die Ergebniswahrscheinlichkeiten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn neue Handelsgeschäfte eingehen. Sie können diese Seite als Lesezeichen speichern und den Kommentarbereich lesen, um zu sehen, was andere Händler sagen. Sie können auch die Zeitfilter im Diagramm nutzen, um zu sehen, wie sich die Quoten im Laufe der Zeit verändert haben.
Polymarket-Quoten werden von echten Händlern festgelegt, die echtes Geld hinter ihre Überzeugungen setzen, was tendenziell genaue Vorhersagen hervorbringt. Mit $1.5 million Handelsvolumen bei “Der nächste britische Finanzminister im Jahr 2026?” aggregieren diese Preise das kollektive Wissen und die Überzeugung Tausender Teilnehmer — oft genauer als Umfragen, Expertenprognosen und traditionelle Erhebungen. Prognosemärkte wie Polymarket haben eine starke Erfolgsbilanz bei der Genauigkeit, besonders wenn Ereignisse sich ihrem Auflösungsdatum nähern. Beispielsweise hat Polymarket einen Einmonats-Genauigkeitswert von 94%. Für die neuesten Statistiken zur Vorhersagegenauigkeit von Polymarket besuchen Sie die Genauigkeitsseite auf Polymarket.
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Auf Polymarket repräsentiert der Preis jedes Ergebnisses die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes. Ein Preis von 100¢ für „John Healey" im Markt „Der nächste britische Finanzminister im Jahr 2026?" bedeutet, dass Händler kollektiv eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von etwa 100% sehen, dass „John Healey" das korrekte Ergebnis sein wird. Wenn Sie „Ja"-Anteile bei 100¢ kaufen und das Ergebnis korrekt ist, erhalten Sie $1,00 pro Anteil – ein Gewinn von 0¢ pro Anteil. Ist es falsch, sind diese Anteile $0 wert.
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Der Markt „Der nächste britische Finanzminister im Jahr 2026?" hat eine aktive Community mit 38 Kommentaren, in der Händler ihre Analysen teilen, Ergebnisse diskutieren und aktuelle Entwicklungen besprechen. Scrollen Sie zum Kommentarbereich unten, um zu lesen, was andere Teilnehmer denken. Sie können auch nach „Top-Haltern" filtern oder den Tab „Aktivität" für einen Echtzeit-Feed von Handelsgeschäften prüfen.
Polymarket ist der größte Prognosemarkt der Welt, auf dem Sie informiert bleiben und von Ihrem Wissen über reale Ereignisse profitieren können. Händler kaufen und verkaufen Anteile an Ergebnissen zu Themen von Politik und Wahlen bis hin zu Krypto, Finanzen, Sport, Technologie und Kultur, einschließlich Märkten wie „Der nächste britische Finanzminister im Jahr 2026?". Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten wider, die durch finanzielle Überzeugung gestützt werden — oft schneller und genauer als Umfragen, Experten oder traditionelle Erhebungen.
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