Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Jose Mourinho at 63% implied probability to become Real Madrid's next head coach, driven by reports that club president Florentino Pérez views the former Bernabéu boss—successful in securing La Liga in 2012—as his top choice to replace struggling interim manager Álvaro Arbeloa, whose tenure since January has yielded no major trophies and culminated in a Champions League quarterfinal exit to Bayern Munich last month. Arbeloa holds strong at 49.5% as a club legend promoted from Castilla, with potential for extension if La Liga form improves in the season's final matches. Lower probabilities for Didier Deschamps (13.2%) reflect his France national team commitment through the 2026 World Cup, while names like Andoni Iraola and Mauricio Pochettino represent contingency options amid ongoing board deliberations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJose Mourinho 63%
Didier Deschamps 13.8%
Mauricio Pochettino 8.2%
Jürgen Klopp 7%
$62,852 Vol.
$62,852 Vol.
Jose Mourinho
63%
Didier Deschamps
14%
Mauricio Pochettino
8%
Jürgen Klopp
7%
Enzo Maresca
6%
Unai Emery
4%
Zinedine Zidane
3%
Luis Enrique
2%
Massimiliano Allegri
2%
Andoni Iraola
10%
Julian Nagelsmann
6%
Mikel Arteta
1%
Oliver Glasner
1%
Thomas Tuchel
1%
Robert De Zerbi
<1%
Lionel Scaloni
6%
Jose Mourinho 63%
Didier Deschamps 13.8%
Mauricio Pochettino 8.2%
Jürgen Klopp 7%
$62,852 Vol.
$62,852 Vol.
Jose Mourinho
63%
Didier Deschamps
14%
Mauricio Pochettino
8%
Jürgen Klopp
7%
Enzo Maresca
6%
Unai Emery
4%
Zinedine Zidane
3%
Luis Enrique
2%
Massimiliano Allegri
2%
Andoni Iraola
10%
Julian Nagelsmann
6%
Mikel Arteta
1%
Oliver Glasner
1%
Thomas Tuchel
1%
Robert De Zerbi
<1%
Lionel Scaloni
6%
If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."
Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.
An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 17, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."
Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.
An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Jose Mourinho at 63% implied probability to become Real Madrid's next head coach, driven by reports that club president Florentino Pérez views the former Bernabéu boss—successful in securing La Liga in 2012—as his top choice to replace struggling interim manager Álvaro Arbeloa, whose tenure since January has yielded no major trophies and culminated in a Champions League quarterfinal exit to Bayern Munich last month. Arbeloa holds strong at 49.5% as a club legend promoted from Castilla, with potential for extension if La Liga form improves in the season's final matches. Lower probabilities for Didier Deschamps (13.2%) reflect his France national team commitment through the 2026 World Cup, while names like Andoni Iraola and Mauricio Pochettino represent contingency options amid ongoing board deliberations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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