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Politik·Trudeau Out

Next leader of Canadian Liberal Party?

Market icon
Politik·Trudeau Out

Next leader of Canadian Liberal Party?

Mark Carney 100.0%

Chrystia Freeland  <1%

Dominic LeBlanc <1%

Mélanie Joly <1%

Polymarket

$27,419,368 Vol.

Mark Carney 100.0%

Chrystia Freeland  <1%

Dominic LeBlanc <1%

Mélanie Joly <1%

Polymarket

$27,419,368 Vol.

Market icon

Chrystia Freeland

$387,534 Vol.

No

Market icon

Dominic LeBlanc

$1,036,084 Vol.

No

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Mélanie Joly

$1,380,867 Vol.

No

Market icon

Mark Carney

$863,664 Vol.

Yes

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Anita Anand

$3,750,275 Vol.

No

Market icon

Francois-Philippe Champagne

$1,420,924 Vol.

No

Market icon

Sean Fraser

$1,735,177 Vol.

No

Market icon

Frank Baylis

$541,942 Vol.

No

Market icon

Jaime Battiste

$15,348,884 Vol.

No

Market icon

Karina Gould

$544,567 Vol.

No

Market icon

Ruby Dhalla

$409,449 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first leader of The Liberal Party of Canada following Justin Trudeau is Chrystia Freeland. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next permanent leader of The Liberal Party of Canada after Justin Trudeau. Any interim or acting leader of the party will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be official information from The Liberal Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice. If Justin Trudeau remains the leader of the The Liberal Party of Canada or the next leader of the The Liberal Party of Canada after Justin Trudeau is not announced by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first leader of The Liberal Party of Canada following Justin Trudeau is Dominic LeBlanc. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next permanent leader of The Liberal Party of Canada after Justin Trudeau. Any interim or acting leader of the party will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be official information from The Liberal Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice. If Justin Trudeau remains the leader of the The Liberal Party of Canada or the next leader of the The Liberal Party of Canada after Justin Trudeau is not announced by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first leader of The Liberal Party of Canada following Justin Trudeau is Mélanie Joly. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next permanent leader of The Liberal Party of Canada after Justin Trudeau. Any interim or acting leader of the party will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be official information from The Liberal Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice. If Justin Trudeau remains the leader of the The Liberal Party of Canada or the next leader of the The Liberal Party of Canada after Justin Trudeau is not announced by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first leader of The Liberal Party of Canada following Justin Trudeau is Mark Carney. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next permanent leader of The Liberal Party of Canada after Justin Trudeau. Any interim or acting leader of the party will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be official information from The Liberal Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice. If Justin Trudeau remains the leader of the The Liberal Party of Canada or the next leader of the The Liberal Party of Canada after Justin Trudeau is not announced by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first leader of The Liberal Party of Canada following Justin Trudeau is Anita Anand. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next permanent leader of The Liberal Party of Canada after Justin Trudeau. Any interim or acting leader of the party will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be official information from The Liberal Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice. If Justin Trudeau remains the leader of the The Liberal Party of Canada or the next leader of the The Liberal Party of Canada after Justin Trudeau is not announced by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first leader of The Liberal Party of Canada following Justin Trudeau is Francois-Philippe Champagne. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next permanent leader of The Liberal Party of Canada after Justin Trudeau. Any interim or acting leader of the party will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be official information from The Liberal Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice. If Justin Trudeau remains the leader of the The Liberal Party of Canada or the next leader of the The Liberal Party of Canada after Justin Trudeau is not announced by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first leader of The Liberal Party of Canada following Justin Trudeau is Sean Fraser. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next permanent leader of The Liberal Party of Canada after Justin Trudeau. Any interim or acting leader of the party will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be official information from The Liberal Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice. If Justin Trudeau remains the leader of the The Liberal Party of Canada or the next leader of the The Liberal Party of Canada after Justin Trudeau is not announced by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first leader of The Liberal Party of Canada following Justin Trudeau is Frank Baylis. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next permanent leader of The Liberal Party of Canada after Justin Trudeau. Any interim or acting leader of the party will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be official information from The Liberal Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice. If Justin Trudeau remains the leader of the The Liberal Party of Canada or the next leader of the The Liberal Party of Canada after Justin Trudeau is not announced by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first leader of The Liberal Party of Canada following Justin Trudeau is Jaime Battiste. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next permanent leader of The Liberal Party of Canada after Justin Trudeau. Any interim or acting leader of the party will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be official information from The Liberal Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice. If Justin Trudeau remains the leader of the The Liberal Party of Canada or the next leader of the The Liberal Party of Canada after Justin Trudeau is not announced by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first leader of The Liberal Party of Canada following Justin Trudeau is Karina Gould. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next permanent leader of The Liberal Party of Canada after Justin Trudeau. Any interim or acting leader of the party will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be official information from The Liberal Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice. If Justin Trudeau remains the leader of the The Liberal Party of Canada or the next leader of the The Liberal Party of Canada after Justin Trudeau is not announced by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first leader of The Liberal Party of Canada following Justin Trudeau is Ruby Dhalla. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next permanent leader of The Liberal Party of Canada after Justin Trudeau. Any interim or acting leader of the party will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be official information from The Liberal Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice. If Justin Trudeau remains the leader of the The Liberal Party of Canada or the next leader of the The Liberal Party of Canada after Justin Trudeau is not announced by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first leader of The Liberal Party of Canada following Justin Trudeau is Chrystia Freeland. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next permanent leader of The Liberal Party of Canada after Justin Trudeau. Any interim or acting leader of the party will not count toward the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source will be official information from The Liberal Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice.

If Justin Trudeau remains the leader of the The Liberal Party of Canada or the next leader of the The Liberal Party of Canada after Justin Trudeau is not announced by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Volumen
$27,419,368
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2025
Markt eröffnet
Jan 6, 2025, 12:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first leader of The Liberal Party of Canada following Justin Trudeau is Chrystia Freeland. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next permanent leader of The Liberal Party of Canada after Justin Trudeau. Any interim or acting leader of the party will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be official information from The Liberal Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice. If Justin Trudeau remains the leader of the The Liberal Party of Canada or the next leader of the The Liberal Party of Canada after Justin Trudeau is not announced by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first leader of The Liberal Party of Canada following Justin Trudeau is Chrystia Freeland. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next permanent leader of The Liberal Party of Canada after Justin Trudeau. Any interim or acting leader of the party will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be official information from The Liberal Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice. If Justin Trudeau remains the leader of the The Liberal Party of Canada or the next leader of the The Liberal Party of Canada after Justin Trudeau is not announced by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first leader of The Liberal Party of Canada following Justin Trudeau is Dominic LeBlanc. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next permanent leader of The Liberal Party of Canada after Justin Trudeau. Any interim or acting leader of the party will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be official information from The Liberal Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice. If Justin Trudeau remains the leader of the The Liberal Party of Canada or the next leader of the The Liberal Party of Canada after Justin Trudeau is not announced by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first leader of The Liberal Party of Canada following Justin Trudeau is Mélanie Joly. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next permanent leader of The Liberal Party of Canada after Justin Trudeau. Any interim or acting leader of the party will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be official information from The Liberal Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice. If Justin Trudeau remains the leader of the The Liberal Party of Canada or the next leader of the The Liberal Party of Canada after Justin Trudeau is not announced by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first leader of The Liberal Party of Canada following Justin Trudeau is Mark Carney. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next permanent leader of The Liberal Party of Canada after Justin Trudeau. Any interim or acting leader of the party will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be official information from The Liberal Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice. If Justin Trudeau remains the leader of the The Liberal Party of Canada or the next leader of the The Liberal Party of Canada after Justin Trudeau is not announced by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first leader of The Liberal Party of Canada following Justin Trudeau is Anita Anand. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next permanent leader of The Liberal Party of Canada after Justin Trudeau. Any interim or acting leader of the party will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be official information from The Liberal Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice. If Justin Trudeau remains the leader of the The Liberal Party of Canada or the next leader of the The Liberal Party of Canada after Justin Trudeau is not announced by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first leader of The Liberal Party of Canada following Justin Trudeau is Francois-Philippe Champagne. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next permanent leader of The Liberal Party of Canada after Justin Trudeau. Any interim or acting leader of the party will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be official information from The Liberal Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice. If Justin Trudeau remains the leader of the The Liberal Party of Canada or the next leader of the The Liberal Party of Canada after Justin Trudeau is not announced by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first leader of The Liberal Party of Canada following Justin Trudeau is Sean Fraser. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next permanent leader of The Liberal Party of Canada after Justin Trudeau. Any interim or acting leader of the party will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be official information from The Liberal Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice. If Justin Trudeau remains the leader of the The Liberal Party of Canada or the next leader of the The Liberal Party of Canada after Justin Trudeau is not announced by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first leader of The Liberal Party of Canada following Justin Trudeau is Frank Baylis. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next permanent leader of The Liberal Party of Canada after Justin Trudeau. Any interim or acting leader of the party will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be official information from The Liberal Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice. If Justin Trudeau remains the leader of the The Liberal Party of Canada or the next leader of the The Liberal Party of Canada after Justin Trudeau is not announced by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first leader of The Liberal Party of Canada following Justin Trudeau is Jaime Battiste. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next permanent leader of The Liberal Party of Canada after Justin Trudeau. Any interim or acting leader of the party will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be official information from The Liberal Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice. If Justin Trudeau remains the leader of the The Liberal Party of Canada or the next leader of the The Liberal Party of Canada after Justin Trudeau is not announced by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first leader of The Liberal Party of Canada following Justin Trudeau is Karina Gould. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next permanent leader of The Liberal Party of Canada after Justin Trudeau. Any interim or acting leader of the party will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be official information from The Liberal Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice. If Justin Trudeau remains the leader of the The Liberal Party of Canada or the next leader of the The Liberal Party of Canada after Justin Trudeau is not announced by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first leader of The Liberal Party of Canada following Justin Trudeau is Ruby Dhalla. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next permanent leader of The Liberal Party of Canada after Justin Trudeau. Any interim or acting leader of the party will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be official information from The Liberal Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice. If Justin Trudeau remains the leader of the The Liberal Party of Canada or the next leader of the The Liberal Party of Canada after Justin Trudeau is not announced by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first leader of The Liberal Party of Canada following Justin Trudeau is Chrystia Freeland. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next permanent leader of The Liberal Party of Canada after Justin Trudeau. Any interim or acting leader of the party will not count toward the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source will be official information from The Liberal Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice.

If Justin Trudeau remains the leader of the The Liberal Party of Canada or the next leader of the The Liberal Party of Canada after Justin Trudeau is not announced by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Volumen
$27,419,368
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2025
Markt eröffnet
Jan 6, 2025, 12:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first leader of The Liberal Party of Canada following Justin Trudeau is Chrystia Freeland. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next permanent leader of The Liberal Party of Canada after Justin Trudeau. Any interim or acting leader of the party will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be official information from The Liberal Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice. If Justin Trudeau remains the leader of the The Liberal Party of Canada or the next leader of the The Liberal Party of Canada after Justin Trudeau is not announced by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: No

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Next leader of Canadian Liberal Party?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 11 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Mark Carney" mit 100%, gefolgt von „Chrystia Freeland " mit 0%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 100¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Next leader of Canadian Liberal Party?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $27.4 million generiert, seit der Markt am Jan 6, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Next leader of Canadian Liberal Party?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 11 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Next leader of Canadian Liberal Party?" ist „Mark Carney" mit 100%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Chrystia Freeland " mit 0%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Next leader of Canadian Liberal Party?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.