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icon for Nächstes Google Gemini Pro-Modell veröffentlicht am...?
Technik·AI

Nächstes Google Gemini Pro-Modell veröffentlicht am...?

icon for Nächstes Google Gemini Pro-Modell veröffentlicht am...?
Technik·AI

Nächstes Google Gemini Pro-Modell veröffentlicht am...?

Okt. 1

Okt. 1

Keine Veröffentlichung bis zum 30. September 83%

23. September 4.0%

30. September 4.0%

24. September 3.4%

Polymarket

$93,374 Vol.

Keine Veröffentlichung bis zum 30. September 83%

23. September 4.0%

30. September 4.0%

24. September 3.4%

Polymarket

$93,374 Vol.

14. September

$409 Vol.

<1%

15. September

$547 Vol.

2%

16. September

$543 Vol.

2%

17. September

$547 Vol.

2%

18. September

$310 Vol.

<1%

19. September

$307 Vol.

1%

20. September

$307 Vol.

1%

21. September

$537 Vol.

2%

22. September

$584 Vol.

3%

23. September

$464 Vol.

4%

24. September

$594 Vol.

3%

25. September

$303 Vol.

1%

26. September

$305 Vol.

1%

27. September

$307 Vol.

1%

28. September

$485 Vol.

3%

29. September

$375 Vol.

2%

30. September

$840 Vol.

4%

Keine Veröffentlichung bis zum 30. September

$78,622 Vol.

83%

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's focus on frequent Gemini Flash iterations, including the Gemini 3.8 Flash release on September 2, has shifted attention away from frontier Pro updates, with the last major Pro model (3.1 Pro) launching in February 2026. Traders price an 83% chance of no Gemini Pro release by September 30 due to ongoing delays on the anticipated 3.5 Pro, internal performance tuning, and Sundar Pichai's comments on ambitious pre-training for Gemini 4. This leaves near-term September dates with single-digit implied probabilities, as the company emphasizes coding benchmarks, agentic features, and monthly Flash cadence over immediate Pro launches. Upcoming developer events or partner testing updates could still influence timelines.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.

Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.

Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$93,374
Enddatum
1. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's focus on frequent Gemini Flash iterations, including the Gemini 3.8 Flash release on September 2, has shifted attention away from frontier Pro updates, with the last major Pro model (3.1 Pro) launching in February 2026. Traders price an 83% chance of no Gemini Pro release by September 30 due to ongoing delays on the anticipated 3.5 Pro, internal performance tuning, and Sundar Pichai's comments on ambitious pre-training for Gemini 4. This leaves near-term September dates with single-digit implied probabilities, as the company emphasizes coding benchmarks, agentic features, and monthly Flash cadence over immediate Pro launches. Upcoming developer events or partner testing updates could still influence timelines.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.

Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.

Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$93,374
Enddatum
1. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Verwandte

icon for Wird es bis zum 1. November 2026 kein neues Google Gemini Pro Modell geben?

Wird es bis zum 1. November 2026 kein neues Google Gemini Pro Modell geben?

24%
Ja
icon for Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?

78%
icon for Nächstes Google Gemini Flash-Lite-Modell (3.6+) bis spätestens 30. November 2026 veröffentlicht?

Nächstes Google Gemini Flash-Lite-Modell (3.6+) bis spätestens 30. November 2026 veröffentlicht?

80%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Nächstes Google Gemini Pro-Modell veröffentlicht am...?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 31 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Keine Veröffentlichung bis zum 30. September" mit 83%, gefolgt von „23. September" mit 4%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 83¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 83% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Nächstes Google Gemini Pro-Modell veröffentlicht am...?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $93.4K generiert, seit der Markt am Aug 17, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Nächstes Google Gemini Pro-Modell veröffentlicht am...?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 31 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Nächstes Google Gemini Pro-Modell veröffentlicht am...?" ist „Keine Veröffentlichung bis zum 30. September" mit 83%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 83% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „23. September" mit 4%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Nächstes Google Gemini Pro-Modell veröffentlicht am...?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.