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icon for Nächstes Google Gemini Pro-Modell veröffentlicht am...?
Technik·AI

Nächstes Google Gemini Pro-Modell veröffentlicht am...?

icon for Nächstes Google Gemini Pro-Modell veröffentlicht am...?
Technik·AI

Nächstes Google Gemini Pro-Modell veröffentlicht am...?

Ended: Sep. 1

Okt. 1

Ended: Sep. 1

Okt. 1

No release by August 31 100.0%

On or prior to August 1 1%

August 2 <1%

August 3 <1%

Polymarket

$322,940 Vol.

No release by August 31 100.0%

On or prior to August 1 1%

August 2 <1%

August 3 <1%

Polymarket

$322,940 Vol.

On or prior to August 1

$44 Vol.

No

August 2

$479 Vol.

No

August 3

$496 Vol.

No

August 4

$4,561 Vol.

No

August 5

$4,681 Vol.

No

August 6

$21,718 Vol.

No

August 7

$10,778 Vol.

No

August 8

$2,832 Vol.

No

August 9

$2,945 Vol.

No

August 10

$66,670 Vol.

No

August 11

$9,829 Vol.

No

August 12

$10,662 Vol.

No

August 13

$8,776 Vol.

No

August 14

$4,132 Vol.

No

August 15

$2,979 Vol.

No

August 16

$2,611 Vol.

No

August 17

$3,756 Vol.

No

August 18

$3,999 Vol.

No

August 19

$3,231 Vol.

No

August 20

$2,965 Vol.

No

August 21

$2,366 Vol.

No

August 22

$2,764 Vol.

No

August 23

$3,523 Vol.

No

August 24

$6,472 Vol.

No

August 25

$6,957 Vol.

No

August 26

$5,109 Vol.

No

August 27

$10,504 Vol.

No

August 28

$4,847 Vol.

No

August 29

$7,797 Vol.

No

August 30

$4,276 Vol.

No

August 31

$10,196 Vol.

No

No release by August 31

$89,987 Vol.

Yes

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's repeated delays on the flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro model, originally promised for June at I/O 2026 and later targeted for July, have left it stalled in partner testing with persistent shortfalls in coding and agentic performance. Traders have seen Google instead ship a rapid cadence of Flash variants, including Gemini 3.7 Flash in mid-August, while pre-training has already begun on the next-generation Gemini 4. This pattern of missed internal milestones and a shift toward faster, cheaper models has produced near-certain market-implied odds against any Pro release by the August 31 deadline. A last-minute general availability announcement or surprise partner rollout could still alter outcomes, though recent changelog and earnings commentary show no signs of imminent resolution.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.

Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.

Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$322,940
Enddatum
1. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jul 29, 2026, 3:09 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: No

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's repeated delays on the flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro model, originally promised for June at I/O 2026 and later targeted for July, have left it stalled in partner testing with persistent shortfalls in coding and agentic performance. Traders have seen Google instead ship a rapid cadence of Flash variants, including Gemini 3.7 Flash in mid-August, while pre-training has already begun on the next-generation Gemini 4. This pattern of missed internal milestones and a shift toward faster, cheaper models has produced near-certain market-implied odds against any Pro release by the August 31 deadline. A last-minute general availability announcement or surprise partner rollout could still alter outcomes, though recent changelog and earnings commentary show no signs of imminent resolution.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.

Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.

Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$322,940
Enddatum
1. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jul 29, 2026, 3:09 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: No

Verwandte

icon for Wird es bis zum 30. September 2026 kein nächstes Google Gemini Pro Modell geben?

Wird es bis zum 30. September 2026 kein nächstes Google Gemini Pro Modell geben?

87%
Ja
icon for Wird es bis zum 1. November 2026 kein neues Google Gemini Pro Modell geben?

Wird es bis zum 1. November 2026 kein neues Google Gemini Pro Modell geben?

36%
Ja
icon for Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?

64%

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Nächstes Google Gemini Pro-Modell veröffentlicht am...?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 32 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „No release by August 31" mit 100%, gefolgt von „On or prior to August 1" mit 0%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 100¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Nächstes Google Gemini Pro-Modell veröffentlicht am...?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $322.9K generiert, seit der Markt am Jul 29, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Nächstes Google Gemini Pro-Modell veröffentlicht am...?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 32 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Nächstes Google Gemini Pro-Modell veröffentlicht am...?" ist „No release by August 31" mit 100%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „On or prior to August 1" mit 0%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Nächstes Google Gemini Pro-Modell veröffentlicht am...?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.