As the March 31 deadline passed without Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu facing arrest, traders reached 100% consensus on "No," reflecting the event's definitive non-occurrence amid ongoing legal proceedings. An ICC arrest warrant issued in November 2024 for alleged war crimes remains unenforceable, as Israel rejects the court's jurisdiction and does not extradite nationals. Netanyahu's domestic corruption trial for bribery, fraud, and breach of trust has featured his testimony without custody, with sessions delayed but no detention ordered. Recent March developments, including his public statements on Iran threats and security zones, underscore his continued leadership. Only an extraordinary post-deadline reversal, such as disputed resolution evidence, could theoretically challenge this outcome.