Illinois freshman guard Keaton Wagler leads trader consensus at 12% implied probability for NCAA Tournament Most Outstanding Player after earning South Region MVP honors and dropping 25 points with three assists in the Elite Eight upset over Iowa, propelling the No. 3 seed Fighting Illini to their first Final Four since 2005. His tournament surge—highlighted by poised playmaking, elite shooting (4-of-7 from three in the opener), and rebounding prowess as a 6'6" point guard—has elevated him from unheralded recruit (No. 261 nationally) to projected lottery pick, differentiating him in a wide-open field. Trailing options like Iowa State's Joshua Jefferson (0.8%, sidelined by ankle injury) and Purdue's Braden Smith (0.7%, all-time assists leader but team ousted) underscore the need for sustained Final Four impact amid UConn-Illinois and Arizona-Michigan semis.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertKeaton Wagler 12.3%
Joshua Jefferson <1%
Braden Smith <1%
Kingston Flemings <1%
$170,445 Vol.
$170,445 Vol.
Keaton Wagler
12%
Joshua Jefferson
1%
Braden Smith
1%
Kingston Flemings
1%
Cameron Boozer
1%
Jeremy Fears Jr
1%
AJ Dybantsa
<1%
Caleb Wilson
<1%
Darius Acuff Jr
<1%
JT Toppin
<1%
Keaton Wagler 12.3%
Joshua Jefferson <1%
Braden Smith <1%
Kingston Flemings <1%
$170,445 Vol.
$170,445 Vol.
Keaton Wagler
12%
Joshua Jefferson
1%
Braden Smith
1%
Kingston Flemings
1%
Cameron Boozer
1%
Jeremy Fears Jr
1%
AJ Dybantsa
<1%
Caleb Wilson
<1%
Darius Acuff Jr
<1%
JT Toppin
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NCAA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 9, 2026, 12:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NCAA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Illinois freshman guard Keaton Wagler leads trader consensus at 12% implied probability for NCAA Tournament Most Outstanding Player after earning South Region MVP honors and dropping 25 points with three assists in the Elite Eight upset over Iowa, propelling the No. 3 seed Fighting Illini to their first Final Four since 2005. His tournament surge—highlighted by poised playmaking, elite shooting (4-of-7 from three in the opener), and rebounding prowess as a 6'6" point guard—has elevated him from unheralded recruit (No. 261 nationally) to projected lottery pick, differentiating him in a wide-open field. Trailing options like Iowa State's Joshua Jefferson (0.8%, sidelined by ankle injury) and Purdue's Braden Smith (0.7%, all-time assists leader but team ousted) underscore the need for sustained Final Four impact amid UConn-Illinois and Arizona-Michigan semis.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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