Illinois freshman guard Keaton Wagler's explosive 25-point Elite Eight performance against Iowa, earning him South Region Most Outstanding Player honors, has propelled the Fighting Illini to their first Final Four since 2005 and established him as the trader consensus leader at 12.4% implied probability for NCAA Tournament MOP. In a wide-open field after the dust settled from regional semifinals and finals, trailing contenders like Iowa State's Joshua Jefferson (0.8%, sidelined by early tournament ankle injury as Cyclones fell in Sweet 16), Purdue's Braden Smith (0.7%, Elite Eight exit to Arizona despite assists record), Houston's Kingston Flemings (0.6%, ousted by Illinois), and Duke's Cameron Boozer (0.5%, Elite Eight upset loss to UConn) lag due to elimination, highlighting team advancement and individual tournament dominance as key differentiators ahead of Indianapolis semifinals.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertKeaton Wagler 12.1%
Joshua Jefferson <1%
Braden Smith <1%
Kingston Flemings <1%
$170,680 Vol.
$170,680 Vol.
Keaton Wagler
12%
Joshua Jefferson
1%
Braden Smith
1%
Kingston Flemings
1%
Cameron Boozer
1%
Jeremy Fears Jr
1%
AJ Dybantsa
<1%
Darius Acuff Jr
<1%
Caleb Wilson
<1%
JT Toppin
<1%
Keaton Wagler 12.1%
Joshua Jefferson <1%
Braden Smith <1%
Kingston Flemings <1%
$170,680 Vol.
$170,680 Vol.
Keaton Wagler
12%
Joshua Jefferson
1%
Braden Smith
1%
Kingston Flemings
1%
Cameron Boozer
1%
Jeremy Fears Jr
1%
AJ Dybantsa
<1%
Darius Acuff Jr
<1%
Caleb Wilson
<1%
JT Toppin
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NCAA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 9, 2026, 12:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NCAA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Illinois freshman guard Keaton Wagler's explosive 25-point Elite Eight performance against Iowa, earning him South Region Most Outstanding Player honors, has propelled the Fighting Illini to their first Final Four since 2005 and established him as the trader consensus leader at 12.4% implied probability for NCAA Tournament MOP. In a wide-open field after the dust settled from regional semifinals and finals, trailing contenders like Iowa State's Joshua Jefferson (0.8%, sidelined by early tournament ankle injury as Cyclones fell in Sweet 16), Purdue's Braden Smith (0.7%, Elite Eight exit to Arizona despite assists record), Houston's Kingston Flemings (0.6%, ousted by Illinois), and Duke's Cameron Boozer (0.5%, Elite Eight upset loss to UConn) lag due to elimination, highlighting team advancement and individual tournament dominance as key differentiators ahead of Indianapolis semifinals.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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