Pete Crow-Armstrong’s 45 home runs and 40-40 season for the Chicago Cubs have established a clear edge in the 2026 regular-season home run race, reflected in the market’s overwhelming trader consensus. The 24-year-old center fielder set Cubs franchise marks for left-handed power while posting elite Statcast metrics, including a .570 slugging percentage and strong barrel rates across 725 plate appearances. Recent form, including multi-homer games and consistent production into late September, has left minimal room for challengers. Kyle Schwarber and other contenders trail or sit tied entering the final days, with few remaining games available for significant movement. Late surges or extra-inning scenarios remain the primary variables that could still shift the outcome before season’s end.