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MLB: Home Runs Leader

icon for MLB: Home Runs Leader

MLB: Home Runs Leader

Kyle Schwarber 37%

Aaron Judge 36%

Munetaka Murakami 11%

Matt Olson 7.8%

Polymarket
NEU

Kyle Schwarber 37%

Aaron Judge 36%

Munetaka Murakami 11%

Matt Olson 7.8%

Polymarket
NEU

Kyle Schwarber

$2,395 Vol.

37%

Aaron Judge

$465 Vol.

36%

Munetaka Murakami

$2,654 Vol.

11%

Matt Olson

$771 Vol.

8%

Yordan Alvarez

$130 Vol.

6%

James Wood

$207 Vol.

5%

Brandon Lowe

$115 Vol.

2%

Shohei Ohtani

$328 Vol.

2%

Elly De La Cruz

$271 Vol.

2%

Jordan Walker

$115 Vol.

2%

Cal Raleigh

$115 Vol.

1%

Shea Langeliers

$311 Vol.

1%

Manny Machado

$165 Vol.

1%

Nick Kurtz

$142 Vol.

1%

CJ Abrams

$115 Vol.

1%

Giancarlo Stanton

$115 Vol.

1%

Mike Trout

$115 Vol.

1%

Junior Caminero

$115 Vol.

1%

Sal Stewart

$115 Vol.

1%

Eugenio Suarez

$115 Vol.

1%

Juan Soto

$115 Vol.

1%

Rafael Devers

$115 Vol.

1%

Ben Rice

$165 Vol.

1%

Pete Alonso

$115 Vol.

1%

George Springer

$137 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kyle Schwarber and Aaron Judge remain locked in a tight contest for the 2026 MLB home run crown, with recent form and historical power surges keeping their implied probabilities nearly identical. Schwarber has surged ahead with 20 homers, including a six-homer stretch over five games that made him the first player to reach that mark, while posting elite slugging and on-base numbers from the leadoff spot for the Phillies. Judge sits four behind at 16 but brings proven late-season acceleration, as seen in prior campaigns, along with strong plate discipline and Yankee Stadium power advantages. Munetaka Murakami and others trail further back, yet the extended regular season schedule, injury risks, and matchup variables leave ample room for shifts in the standings through September. Trader consensus reflects this balance of current production against long-term sustainability.

This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$9,517
Enddatum
28. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kyle Schwarber and Aaron Judge remain locked in a tight contest for the 2026 MLB home run crown, with recent form and historical power surges keeping their implied probabilities nearly identical. Schwarber has surged ahead with 20 homers, including a six-homer stretch over five games that made him the first player to reach that mark, while posting elite slugging and on-base numbers from the leadoff spot for the Phillies. Judge sits four behind at 16 but brings proven late-season acceleration, as seen in prior campaigns, along with strong plate discipline and Yankee Stadium power advantages. Munetaka Murakami and others trail further back, yet the extended regular season schedule, injury risks, and matchup variables leave ample room for shifts in the standings through September. Trader consensus reflects this balance of current production against long-term sustainability.

This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$9,517
Enddatum
28. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„MLB: Home Runs Leader" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 25 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Kyle Schwarber" mit 37%, gefolgt von „Aaron Judge" mit 36%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 37¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 37% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„MLB: Home Runs Leader" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Apr 22, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „MLB: Home Runs Leader" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 25 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „MLB: Home Runs Leader" ist „Kyle Schwarber" mit 37%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 37% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Aaron Judge" mit 36%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „MLB: Home Runs Leader" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.