Maryland's 5th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, reflected in the market's 94% implied probability for the Democratic nominee to win the November general election. Longtime incumbent Steny Hoyer retired ahead of the 2026 cycle, opening the race after his consistent 67%+ victories in prior cycles. The district's partisan voting index of roughly D+17, combined with a voter registration advantage exceeding 2-to-1 for Democrats, has produced Safe or Solid Democratic ratings from major forecasters. A crowded Democratic primary on June 23 will determine the nominee among more than 20 candidates, but Republican contenders face structural barriers that have kept their general-election odds below 5%. Late developments such as an unexpected primary upset or turnout shifts would be required to alter the current trader consensus.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertMD-05 Wahlsieger
MD-05 Wahlsieger
$15,921 Vol.
$15,921 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
94%
Republikanische Partei
4%
$15,921 Vol.
$15,921 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$8,513 Vol.
94%
Republikanische Partei
$7,408 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 5th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, reflected in the market's 94% implied probability for the Democratic nominee to win the November general election. Longtime incumbent Steny Hoyer retired ahead of the 2026 cycle, opening the race after his consistent 67%+ victories in prior cycles. The district's partisan voting index of roughly D+17, combined with a voter registration advantage exceeding 2-to-1 for Democrats, has produced Safe or Solid Democratic ratings from major forecasters. A crowded Democratic primary on June 23 will determine the nominee among more than 20 candidates, but Republican contenders face structural barriers that have kept their general-election odds below 5%. Late developments such as an unexpected primary upset or turnout shifts would be required to alter the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$15,921Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 5th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, reflected in the market's 94% implied probability for the Democratic nominee to win the November general election. Longtime incumbent Steny Hoyer retired ahead of the 2026 cycle, opening the race after his consistent 67%+ victories in prior cycles. The district's partisan voting index of roughly D+17, combined with a voter registration advantage exceeding 2-to-1 for Democrats, has produced Safe or Solid Democratic ratings from major forecasters. A crowded Democratic primary on June 23 will determine the nominee among more than 20 candidates, but Republican contenders face structural barriers that have kept their general-election odds below 5%. Late developments such as an unexpected primary upset or turnout shifts would be required to alter the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$15,921Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland's 5th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, reflected in the market's 94% implied probability for the Democratic nominee to win the November general election. Longtime incumbent Steny Hoyer retired ahead of the 2026 cycle, opening the race after his consistent 67%+ victories in prior cycles. The district's partisan voting index of roughly D+17, combined with a voter registration advantage exceeding 2-to-1 for Democrats, has produced Safe or Solid Democratic ratings from major forecasters. A crowded Democratic primary on June 23 will determine the nominee among more than 20 candidates, but Republican contenders face structural barriers that have kept their general-election odds below 5%. Late developments such as an unexpected primary upset or turnout shifts would be required to alter the current trader consensus.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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