President Donald Trump's renewed August 2026 effort to remove Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook centers on mortgage-fraud allegations first raised by FHFA Director Bill Pulte, yet the Supreme Court's 5-4 June 29 ruling requires formal notice, an opportunity to respond, and a substantial "for cause" threshold under the Federal Reserve Act before any dismissal. This procedural bar, coupled with Cook's ongoing litigation and denial of wrongdoing, has reinforced trader consensus around the central bank's statutory independence and the high evidentiary hurdles for removal. With Cook's term extending to 2038 and lower courts still weighing the factual record, near-term resolution appears constrained absent new legal developments or congressional action. Market-implied odds reflect these institutional safeguards rather than policy disagreements over interest rates or inflation data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$14,414 Vol.
30. Sep. 2026
30. September
1%
31. Oktober
2%
30. November
6%
31. Dezember
5%
$14,414 Vol.
30. September
$6,660 Vol.
1%
31. Oktober
$5,143 Vol.
2%
30. November
$1,041 Vol.
6%
31. Dezember
$1,570 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.President Donald Trump's renewed August 2026 effort to remove Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook centers on mortgage-fraud allegations first raised by FHFA Director Bill Pulte, yet the Supreme Court's 5-4 June 29 ruling requires formal notice, an opportunity to respond, and a substantial "for cause" threshold under the Federal Reserve Act before any dismissal. This procedural bar, coupled with Cook's ongoing litigation and denial of wrongdoing, has reinforced trader consensus around the central bank's statutory independence and the high evidentiary hurdles for removal. With Cook's term extending to 2038 and lower courts still weighing the factual record, near-term resolution appears constrained absent new legal developments or congressional action. Market-implied odds reflect these institutional safeguards rather than policy disagreements over interest rates or inflation data.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
Volumen
$14,414Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.President Donald Trump's renewed August 2026 effort to remove Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook centers on mortgage-fraud allegations first raised by FHFA Director Bill Pulte, yet the Supreme Court's 5-4 June 29 ruling requires formal notice, an opportunity to respond, and a substantial "for cause" threshold under the Federal Reserve Act before any dismissal. This procedural bar, coupled with Cook's ongoing litigation and denial of wrongdoing, has reinforced trader consensus around the central bank's statutory independence and the high evidentiary hurdles for removal. With Cook's term extending to 2038 and lower courts still weighing the factual record, near-term resolution appears constrained absent new legal developments or congressional action. Market-implied odds reflect these institutional safeguards rather than policy disagreements over interest rates or inflation data.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volumen
$14,414Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump's renewed August 2026 effort to remove Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook centers on mortgage-fraud allegations first raised by FHFA Director Bill Pulte, yet the Supreme Court's 5-4 June 29 ruling requires formal notice, an opportunity to respond, and a substantial "for cause" threshold under the Federal Reserve Act before any dismissal. This procedural bar, coupled with Cook's ongoing litigation and denial of wrongdoing, has reinforced trader consensus around the central bank's statutory independence and the high evidentiary hurdles for removal. With Cook's term extending to 2038 and lower courts still weighing the factual record, near-term resolution appears constrained absent new legal developments or congressional action. Market-implied odds reflect these institutional safeguards rather than policy disagreements over interest rates or inflation data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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