The account @khamenei_ir, maintained after Ali Khamenei's March 2026 assassination and Mojtaba Khamenei's succession, has adopted a low-volume pattern of infrequent reposts of archival statements and occasional new messages tied to religious commemorations or foreign policy themes. This established rhythm, confirmed across recent comparable weekly markets, underpins the market's strong consensus on fewer than five posts for August 14–21. Escalation in regional conflicts, major Iranian holidays, or coordinated official statements could increase activity enough to test that range, though historical patterns since the transition suggest such bursts remain rare within a single week.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertKhamenei # posts 14. August - 21. August 2026?
<5 100.0%
5-9 <1%
10-14 <1%
15-19 <1%
$21,305 Vol.
$21,305 Vol.
<5
Yes
5-9
No
10-14
No
15-19
No
20-24
No
25-29
No
30-34
No
35-39
No
40-44
No
45-49
No
50-54
No
55-59
No
60+
No
<5 100.0%
5-9 <1%
10-14 <1%
15-19 <1%
$21,305 Vol.
$21,305 Vol.
<5
Yes
5-9
No
10-14
No
15-19
No
20-24
No
25-29
No
30-34
No
35-39
No
40-44
No
45-49
No
50-54
No
55-59
No
60+
No
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/khamenei_irAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/khamenei_irAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes
The account @khamenei_ir, maintained after Ali Khamenei's March 2026 assassination and Mojtaba Khamenei's succession, has adopted a low-volume pattern of infrequent reposts of archival statements and occasional new messages tied to religious commemorations or foreign policy themes. This established rhythm, confirmed across recent comparable weekly markets, underpins the market's strong consensus on fewer than five posts for August 14–21. Escalation in regional conflicts, major Iranian holidays, or coordinated official statements could increase activity enough to test that range, though historical patterns since the transition suggest such bursts remain rare within a single week.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen