Name: Kendrick drops new track by Wednesday?
Start: 2024-05-06T15:34:53.988Z
End: 2024-05-08T12:00:00.000Z

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On May 4, Kendrick dropped "Not Like Us" in response to Drake (see https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T6eK-2OQtew).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kendrick drops a new track by May 8, 2024, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market will be official Kendrick channels, credible music news outlets, or any major streaming platform.

Kendrick drops new track by Wednesday?

Kanye West has announced the release of his new album, BULLY, scheduled for January 30, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ye's (Kanye West) next officially released album debuts at No. 1 on the Billboard 200 albums chart for its first charted week following release. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Ye does not release a new album by February 28, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market may resolve as soon as Billboard publishes the first chart week in which the album appears.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Billboard (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/).

Wird BULLY auf Platz 1 der Billboard 200 debütieren?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West (@kanyewest) posts/tweets again between market creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Posts include any post, repost, or reply.

The resolution source for this market is https://x.com/kanyewest.

Wird Kanye bis zum 28. Februar wieder twittern?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Blackpink (블랙핑크, BLɅϽKPIИK) officially releases a new album by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.

The resolution source will be any official Blackpink streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.

Wird BLɅϽKPIИK bis zum 28. Februar ein Album veröffentlichen?

BlackPink’s new album 'Deadline' is scheduled to be released on February 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for BlackPink’s album 'Deadline', according to Hits Daily Double.

If the album 'Deadline' has not been released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.

Werden die Albumverkäufe von 'Deadline' – BlackPink in der Debütwoche weniger als 300.000 betragen?

Charlie Puth's new album 'Whatever's Clever!' is scheduled to be released on March 6, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Charlie Puth's album 'Whatever's Clever!', according to Hits Daily Double.

If the album 'Whatever's Clever!' has not been released by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.

Werden die Albumverkäufe von 'Whatever's Clever!' – Charlie Puth in der Debütwoche zwischen 25.000 und 30.000 liegen?

Mitski’s new album 'Nothing's About To Happen To Me' is scheduled to be released on February 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Mitski's album 'Nothing's About To Happen To Me', according to Hits Daily Double.

If the album 'Nothing's About To Happen To Me' has not been released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.

Werden die Albumverkäufe von Mitskis 'Nothing’s About To Happen To Me' in der Debütwoche zwischen 20.000 und 25.000 liegen?

Harry Styles set a release date of March 6, 2026 for his new album, “Kiss All the Time. Disco, Occasionally.” (See: https://www.instagram.com/harrystyles/p/DTifcA4j7a5/).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Harry Styles officially releases “Kiss All the Time. Disco, Occasionally.” by March 6, 2026, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Officially released means that “Kiss All the Time. Disco, Occasionally.” is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Harry Styles album officially confirmed to be the “Kiss All the Time. Disco, Occasionally.” project will count, regardless of potential name changes.

The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Harry Styles veröffentlicht 'Kiss All the Time. Disco, Occasionally.' bis zum 6. März?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. 

Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them.

Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count.

The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.

Wird Blackpink im Jahr 2026 ein Lied veröffentlichen?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if North West officially releases a new album between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.

Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release.

The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.

Will North West release an album by December 31?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed artist officially releases a new album between January 1 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.

Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release.

The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.

Wird Nettspend bis zum 30. Juni ein Album veröffentlichen?

Hilary Duff’s new album 'Luck... or Something' is scheduled to be released on February 20, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Hilary Duff’s album 'Luck... or Something', according to Hits Daily Double.

If the album 'Luck... or Something' has not been released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.

Werden die Albumverkäufe von 'Luck... or Something' - Hilary Duff in der Debütwoche zwischen 35.000 und 40.000 liegen?

Harry Styles's new album 'Kiss All The Time. Disco, Occasionally' is scheduled to be released on March 6, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Harry Styles's album 'Kiss All The Time. Disco, Occasionally', according to Hits Daily Double.

If the album 'Kiss All The Time. Disco, Occasionally' has not been released by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.

Werden die Albumverkäufe in der Debütwoche von 'Kiss All The Time. Disco, Occasionally' - Harry Styles mindestens 550.000 betragen?

Bruno Mars set a release date of February 27, 2026 for his new album, The Romantic (See: https://www.rollingstone.com/music/music-news/bruno-mars-new-album-done-1235494480/).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bruno Mars officially releases The Romantic by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Officially released means that The Romantic is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Bruno Mars album officially confirmed to be the “The Romantic” project will count, regardless of potential name changes.

The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Wird Bruno Mars 'The Romantic' vor März veröffentlichen?

Charli xcx's new album 'Wuthering Heights' is scheduled to be released on February 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Charli xcx’s album 'Wuthering Heights', according to Hits Daily Double.

If the album 'Wuthering Heights' has not been released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.

Werden die Albumverkäufe von 'Wuthering Heights' in der Debütwoche weniger als 75.000 betragen?

BTS's new album 'Arirang' is scheduled to be released on March 20, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for BTS's album 'Arirang', according to Hits Daily Double.

If the album 'Arirang' has not been released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.

Werden die Albumverkäufe von 'Arirang' - BTS in der Debütwoche weniger als 3 Millionen betragen?

Bruno Mars’s new album 'The Romantic' is scheduled to be released on February 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Bruno Mars’s album 'The Romantic', according to Hits Daily Double.

If the album 'The Romantic' has not been released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.

Werden die Albumverkäufe von 'The Romantic' in der ersten Woche zwischen 200.000 und 250.000 liegen?

Rob Zombie's new album 'The Great Satan' is scheduled to be released on February 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Rob Zombie's album 'The Great Satan', according to Hits Daily Double.

If the album 'The Great Satan' has not been released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.

Werden sich die Albumverkäufe von 'The Great Satan' – Rob Zombie in der Debütwoche zwischen 25.000 und 30.000 bewegen?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Megan Thee Stallion and/or Klay Thompson announce their intention to legally separate or break up between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET of their intention to separate or otherwise break up will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the separation or breakup later actually occurs, or whether the actual separation or breakup occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.

The resolution source will be statements from Megan Thee Stallion, Klay Thompson, and/or their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.

Haben sich Megan Thee Stallion und Klay Thompson 2026 getrennt?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any weekly bar in the Kaito “Mindshare over time (L12M)” chart reaches a new all-time high at any point between November 19 and 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. If no new all-time high occurs, the market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source is the creator’s page on Kaito. The weekly bar chart can be viewed by clicking the creator’s name at: https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/ct-leaderboard

A weekly bar counts as long as its date range includes the target date. A weekly bar is considered finalized once a bar for the following week is published.

Only the weekly values shown in the L12M chart are used for resolution.

If the Kaito page is temporarily unavailable at resolution time, the market will remain open until it returns. If it becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve to “No.”


Erreicht mert den höchsten Bekanntheitsgrad aller Zeiten bis zum 31. März?

On November 6, 2025, Take-Two Interactive, the parent company of Rockstar Games, announced that the launch of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA VI) would be postponed from its previously scheduled release date of May 26, 2026, to a new release date of November 19, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.

The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


GTA 6-Veröffentlichung erneut verschoben?

Mumford and Sons’s new album 'Prizefighter' is scheduled to be released on February 20, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Mumford and Sons’s album 'Prizefighter', according to Hits Daily Double.

If the album 'Prizefighter' has not been released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.

Werden die Verkaufszahlen des Albums 'Prizefighter' von Mumford and Sons in der ersten Woche unter 200.000 liegen?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Megan Thee Stallion is engaged to be married to Klay Thompson by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it is announced that Megan Thee Stallion and Klay Thompson have married, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.  

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Megan Thee Stallion and/or Klay Thompson or one of their representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Sind Megan Thee Stallion und Klay Thompson 2026 verlobt?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift's marriage takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resole to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Heiraten Taylor Swift und Travis Kelce bis zum 30. Juni?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if another official trailer for the next GTA (GTA VI) is released by Rockstar Games or any of its official accounts, including but not limited to Rockstar's official website, YouTube channel, Twitter, or any other official social media platform between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An "official trailer" is defined as a video clearly labelled and marketed as a trailer for the game in question. Teasers, gameplay snippets, or other promotional materials will not qualify for resolution unless explicitly marketed as an official trailer by Rockstar Games.

This market will resolve immediately if such an official trailer is released by the expiry date. If no official trailer is released by the specified date, this market will resolve to "No".

Kommt ein weiterer GTA VI-Trailer bis zum 31. März heraus?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Stefon Diggs serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Stefon Diggs bis zum 31. März im Gefängnis?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kim Kardashian receives a passing score on the California Bar Exam by May 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the results of all California State Bar Exams within this market's timeframe are not known by the specified end date, this market may remain open until May 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, after which, if results remain unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the California State Bar Association, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. 

Wird Kim Kardashian die Anwaltsprüfung bis zum 3. Mai bestehen?

This market will resolve according to the number of albums that are ranked number 1 on any official weekly Billboard 200 albums chart released for a data collection reference period entirely between January 1 and December 31, 2026.

Each specific album may only count once, regardless of the number times it reaches the number 1 spot. Different editions of the same album will be considered to be different specific albums if they contain different tracklists.

Billboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. The first Billboard 200 album chart relevant to this market will be the chart titled “Week of January 17, 2026” for a data collection reference period of January 2-8, 2026. The final Billboard 200 album chart relevant to this market will be the Chart titled “Week of January 9, 2027” for a data collection reference period of December 25-31, 2026.

All officially published Billboard 200 Albums charts will be treated as final. Revisions made after the release of a Billboard 200 album chart will not be considered.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official weekly Billboard 200 albums chart, published each week at https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/ and through other official Billboard channels; however, a consensus of credible reporting on albums that reached number 1 on the Billboard 200 within this market's timeframe may also be used.

Werden zwischen 22 und 24 Alben im Jahr 2026 Platz 1 der Billboard 200 erreichen?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.

The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.

Wurde GTA VI vor Juni 2026 veröffentlicht?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kang Sun-woo spends any time in custody in a jail or prison by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Temporary holding at a facility, such as the Seoul Detention Center, while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant, does not qualify. However, non-temporary detention initiated by a court-ordered warrant will count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kang Sun-woo bis zum 31. März im Gefängnis?

This market will resolve according to the named people who attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding.

If no wedding between Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". 

the resolution source for this market will be photographic or video evidence of the event, or by statements from Taylor Swift, Travis Kelce, the attendee, or their legal or social media representatives. Only physical attendance of the event will qualify; virtual attendance or confirmation of an invitation will not count.


Wird Jack Antonoff an Taylor Swifts Hochzeit teilnehmen?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift announces that she is pregnant before she announces that she is married to Travis Kelce. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only credible announcements will qualify. Pregnancy or marriage announcements that are not credible, for example jokes, will not suffice.

If Taylor Swift does not announce that she is pregnant or married to Travis Kelce by August 31, 2026 ET, or their engagement is otherwise broken off, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be statements from Taylor Swift or her representatives; however, a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be used.

Ist Taylor Swift schwanger vor der Ehe?

Megan Moroney’s new album 'Cloud 9' is scheduled to be released on February 20, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Megan Moroney’s album 'Cloud 9', according to Hits Daily Double.

If the album 'Cloud 9' has not been released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.

Werden die Album-Verkaufszahlen von 'Cloud 9' - Megan Moroney in der Debütwoche mindestens 45.000 betragen?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Drake officially releases Iceman before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.

For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.

The resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.

Iceman refers to the upcoming studio album by Drake of that title, which has been promoted through videos released with the titles “Iceman Episode (1-4)”, and the singles “What Did I Miss”, “Which One”, and “Dog House.”

Officially released means that Iceman is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.

The full Iceman studio album must be released in order to resolve this market. Further singles or Iceman video episodes will not be sufficient to resolve this market. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the Iceman project will count, regardless of potential name changes.

The resolution source for the album release will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. A consensus of credible reporting that a released album is the Iceman project may be used if Drake releases the album under a different name.

Wird Drake Iceman vor GTA VI veröffentlichen?

In November, a song reported to be the product of an AI-generated artist reached the top of the Billboard's Country Digital Song Sales chart. (see: https://www.barrons.com/news/ai-country-song-rollicks-to-the-top-of-us-sales-chart-7fe99e8a)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song widely reported to be entirely AI-generated reaches number 1 on any Billboard chart between November 13, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A song will be considered fully AI-generated if all vocals, musical composition, and production elements are created primarily by AI. Human actions such as prompting, mixing, and editing will not disqualify a song provided all audio content originates from AI.

Songs reported to have used AI-generated lyrics but not AI-generated voices, AI-assisted human vocals or instruments, or remixes, mash-ups, or covers using human-performed components will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Wird ein weiteres KI-generiertes Lied bis zum 30. Juni Platz 1 in einer Billboard-Hitliste erreichen?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rihanna announces that she is pregnant between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only credible announcements will qualify. Pregnancy announcements that are not credible, for example jokes, will not suffice.    

The resolution source will be statements from Rihanna or her representatives; however, a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.

Hat Rihanna 2026 eine Schwangerschaft bestätigt?

Bad Bunny is scheduled to perform at halftime of Super Bowl LX on February 8, 2026. Each year, the official NFL YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@NFL) posts a video of the complete halftime show shortly after the game.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the video posted by the NFL of the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show becomes the most viewed Super Bowl halftime show video on the NFL YouTube channel by March 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the view counts for Super Bowl halftime show videos posted by the official NFL YouTube Channel (https://www.youtube.com/@NFL). Only the view counts for posted videos of complete Super Bowl halftime shows/performances will count (e.g. the video titled “Kendrick Lamar’s Super Bowl Halftime Show” at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KDorKy-13ak). View counts for other videos posted by the NFL will not impact this market’s resolution.

The video posted by the NFL of the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show will be considered to have become the most viewed NFL super bowl halftime show video on the NFL YouTube channel if its total view count is higher for any period of time than any other qualifying NFL Super Bowl halftime show video. A tie in the number of views will not count.

If no video of the Bad Bunny Super Bowl LX halftime show is posted on YouTube by the NFL by March 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

If the NFL posts multiple videos of Bad Bunny’s complete halftime performance on YouTube, the view count for any of the videos may count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the official NFL YouTube Channel (https://www.youtube.com/@NFL), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.

Bad-Bunny-Video wird in erstem Monat zum meistgesehenen SB-Halbzeitshow-Video auf YouTube?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Stefon Diggs is arrested or detained by law enforcement by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.

A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring

The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Wird Stefon Diggs bis zum 31. März verhaftet?

This market will resolve to “Yes” immediately if all Pyth 1-minute candles for USD0-USD for any 24-hour period are below 98 cents, for candles between 27 Oct ’25 15:00 and 31 Dec ’26 23:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Below 98 cents means all candles in the period have a final “High” price below 0.98000 (i.e., 0.97999 or lower). A 24-hour period of USD0 below 98 cents that starts on the last day in 2026 will count.

The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the USD0-USD “High” prices currently available at https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3AUSD0USD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. To see the “High” prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value after “H” at the top of the chart.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Pyth USD0-USD. If Pyth stops having the necessary USD0 information to resolve this market, a consensus of credible sources for whether USD0 was below 98 cents for 24 hours or more may be used to resolve this market.

Kendrick drops new track by Wednesday?

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Kendrick drops new track by Wednesday?

Regeln

Marktkontext

Kommentare

Top-Inhaber

Positionen

Aktivität