Jayden Daniels' 2026 passing touchdown total hinges on his ability to stay healthy after dislocating his left elbow for the second time in roughly 11 months during Week 2. He missed the next two games, returned in Week 5 wearing a brace, and has thrown just three touchdowns through two appearances amid limited attempts and a Commanders offense averaging under 200 passing yards per game. Supporting cast issues compound the challenge, with Stefon Diggs ruled out and Terry McLaurin questionable due to hamstring injuries, while new offensive coordinator David Blough's scheme emphasizes creativity around Daniels' dual-threat profile. Upcoming schedule difficulty, including road games against strong defenses, and ongoing re-injury concerns noted by league doctors further constrain expected volume.