Recent polling averages place Yashar, the centrist list led by former IDF chief Gadi Eisenkot, in the low-to-mid 20s ahead of the October 27 Knesset vote, often edging or tying Likud while the broader opposition and Netanyahu-aligned blocs each fall short of a 61-seat majority. Volatility across pollsters, combined with undecided voters and intra-bloc movement, keeps projected seat totals clustered in the low-to-mid 20s and sustains spread-out market probabilities. Late-campaign developments such as turnout shifts among centrist or security-focused voters, final bloc positioning on national service or coalition rules, or any surge by unaligned lists near the threshold could widen or narrow Yashar’s range before election night.