Recent polls project Otzma Yehudit near eight Knesset seats as Israel's October 27 election approaches, with the right-religious bloc averaging around 51-52 mandates and no clear path to 61. Fluctuations between six and nine seats stem from competition for right-wing voters among Likud, Religious Zionism-Zehut, and Otzma itself, plus uncertainty over whether allied smaller lists clear the 3.25% threshold. Itamar Ben-Gvir's emphasis on security policy and West Bank sovereignty continues to shape turnout within that bloc, while overall fragmentation and last-minute shifts in voter certainty keep outcomes tightly contested across recent surveys.
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