Traders assign the highest implied probability to a SpaceX IPO before 2027, driven by ongoing Starlink expansion, Musk’s recent signals of openness, and favorable aerospace market conditions. OpenAI and Anthropic sit in the 70% range amid record private valuations exceeding $800 billion, fueled by surging AI demand, multi-billion-dollar funding rounds, and competitive pressure to access public capital for compute infrastructure. Key swing factors include potential late-2026 filings, founder statements on public-market reluctance, and the broader IPO window reopening amid stabilizing interest rates. Outcomes hinge on whether these AI and space leaders meet regulatory and operational thresholds by year-end 2026.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertBörsengänge vor 2027?
Börsengänge vor 2027?
$6,321,999 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
SpaceX
98%
Anthropic
76%
OpenAI
76%
Discord
67%
Remote
33%
Databricks
22%
Rippling
17%
Mistral AI
16%
Applied Intuition
15%
SHEIN
14%
Ripple Labs
14%
Anduril
14%
Freddie Mac
13%
Fannie Mae
13%
Epic Games
12%
Ledger
12%
Glean
12%
Ramp
11%
Celonis
10%
Stripe
9%
WHOOP
17%
Vanta
9%
Anduril Industries
9%
Deel
8%
Revolut
8%
Canva
7%
Waymo
7%
Anysphere (Cursor)
6%
ByteDance
6%
Brex
1%
$6,321,999 Vol.
SpaceX
$615,748 Vol.
98%
Anthropic
$244,024 Vol.
76%
OpenAI
$258,057 Vol.
76%
Discord
$452,610 Vol.
67%
Remote
$54,459 Vol.
33%
Databricks
$469,910 Vol.
22%
Rippling
$117,680 Vol.
17%
Mistral AI
$149,044 Vol.
16%
Applied Intuition
$193,105 Vol.
15%
SHEIN
$78,476 Vol.
14%
Ripple Labs
$145,927 Vol.
14%
Anduril
$352,277 Vol.
14%
Freddie Mac
$245,063 Vol.
13%
Fannie Mae
$161,768 Vol.
13%
Epic Games
$74,546 Vol.
12%
Ledger
$510,766 Vol.
12%
Glean
$45,117 Vol.
12%
Ramp
$144,071 Vol.
11%
Celonis
$207,966 Vol.
10%
Stripe
$251,437 Vol.
9%
WHOOP
$225 Vol.
17%
Vanta
$130,464 Vol.
9%
Anduril Industries
$32,926 Vol.
9%
Deel
$124,296 Vol.
8%
Revolut
$56,997 Vol.
8%
Canva
$36,707 Vol.
7%
Waymo
$52,320 Vol.
7%
Anysphere (Cursor)
$97,326 Vol.
6%
ByteDance
$11,821 Vol.
6%
Brex
$217,772 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company undergoes a merger, this will only qualify for a “No” resolution if the transaction results in the listed company being fully absorbed, dissolved, or otherwise no longer capable of independently conducting an Initial Public Offering. Transactions in which the listed company continues as a parent or successor will not alone qualify for a “No” resolution.
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Traders assign the highest implied probability to a SpaceX IPO before 2027, driven by ongoing Starlink expansion, Musk’s recent signals of openness, and favorable aerospace market conditions. OpenAI and Anthropic sit in the 70% range amid record private valuations exceeding $800 billion, fueled by surging AI demand, multi-billion-dollar funding rounds, and competitive pressure to access public capital for compute infrastructure. Key swing factors include potential late-2026 filings, founder statements on public-market reluctance, and the broader IPO window reopening amid stabilizing interest rates. Outcomes hinge on whether these AI and space leaders meet regulatory and operational thresholds by year-end 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ET
Volumen
$6,321,999Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company undergoes a merger, this will only qualify for a “No” resolution if the transaction results in the listed company being fully absorbed, dissolved, or otherwise no longer capable of independently conducting an Initial Public Offering. Transactions in which the listed company continues as a parent or successor will not alone qualify for a “No” resolution.
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Traders assign the highest implied probability to a SpaceX IPO before 2027, driven by ongoing Starlink expansion, Musk’s recent signals of openness, and favorable aerospace market conditions. OpenAI and Anthropic sit in the 70% range amid record private valuations exceeding $800 billion, fueled by surging AI demand, multi-billion-dollar funding rounds, and competitive pressure to access public capital for compute infrastructure. Key swing factors include potential late-2026 filings, founder statements on public-market reluctance, and the broader IPO window reopening amid stabilizing interest rates. Outcomes hinge on whether these AI and space leaders meet regulatory and operational thresholds by year-end 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$6,321,999Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign the highest implied probability to a SpaceX IPO before 2027, driven by ongoing Starlink expansion, Musk’s recent signals of openness, and favorable aerospace market conditions. OpenAI and Anthropic sit in the 70% range amid record private valuations exceeding $800 billion, fueled by surging AI demand, multi-billion-dollar funding rounds, and competitive pressure to access public capital for compute infrastructure. Key swing factors include potential late-2026 filings, founder statements on public-market reluctance, and the broader IPO window reopening amid stabilizing interest rates. Outcomes hinge on whether these AI and space leaders meet regulatory and operational thresholds by year-end 2026.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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