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Welt·Weltgeschehen

India x Pakistan ceasefire announced before June?

Market icon
Welt·Weltgeschehen

India x Pakistan ceasefire announced before June?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$213,245 Vol.

>99% chance
Polymarket

$213,245 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between India and Pakistan is announced between May 9, and May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.

If the agreement is announced by both countries before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterwards.

Qualifying agreements must be announced by both countries. A formal, signed agreement between the countries is not necessary to resolve this market, however explicit statements made by both countries that they are ceasing military action for an overlapping timeframe is required.

Mere de-escalation or an absence of military activity will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" without explicit public statements from both sides indicating a ceasefire.

Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply a specific theater, or type of military action will not count.

This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both India and Pakistan.
Volumen
$213,245
Enddatum
May 31, 2025
Erstellt am
May 9, 2025, 6:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between India and Pakistan is announced between May 9, and May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. If the agreement is announced by both countries before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterwards. Qualifying agreements must be announced by both countries. A formal, signed agreement between the countries is not necessary to resolve this market, however explicit statements made by both countries that they are ceasing military action for an overlapping timeframe is required. Mere de-escalation or an absence of military activity will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" without explicit public statements from both sides indicating a ceasefire. Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply a specific theater, or type of military action will not count. This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both India and Pakistan.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between India and Pakistan is announced between May 9, and May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.

If the agreement is announced by both countries before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterwards.

Qualifying agreements must be announced by both countries. A formal, signed agreement between the countries is not necessary to resolve this market, however explicit statements made by both countries that they are ceasing military action for an overlapping timeframe is required.

Mere de-escalation or an absence of military activity will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" without explicit public statements from both sides indicating a ceasefire.

Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply a specific theater, or type of military action will not count.

This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both India and Pakistan.
Volumen
$213,245
Enddatum
May 31, 2025
Erstellt am
May 9, 2025, 6:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between India and Pakistan is announced between May 9, and May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. If the agreement is announced by both countries before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterwards. Qualifying agreements must be announced by both countries. A formal, signed agreement between the countries is not necessary to resolve this market, however explicit statements made by both countries that they are ceasing military action for an overlapping timeframe is required. Mere de-escalation or an absence of military activity will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" without explicit public statements from both sides indicating a ceasefire. Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply a specific theater, or type of military action will not count. This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both India and Pakistan.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"India x Pakistan ceasefire announced before June?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "India x Pakistan ceasefire announced before June?" has generated $213.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 9, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "India x Pakistan ceasefire announced before June?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "India x Pakistan ceasefire announced before June?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "India x Pakistan ceasefire announced before June?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.