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How many acres will Palisades wildfire burn in total?

Market icon

How many acres will Palisades wildfire burn in total?

20-30k 100.0%

<20,000 <1%

30-40k <1%

40-50k <1%

Polymarket

$260,607 Vol.

20-30k 100.0%

<20,000 <1%

30-40k <1%

40-50k <1%

Polymarket

$260,607 Vol.

<20,000

$24,204 Vol.

No

20-30k

$67,571 Vol.

Yes

30-40k

$31,786 Vol.

No

40-50k

$52,011 Vol.

No

50-60k

$39,982 Vol.

No

60k+

$45,053 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California burns less than 20,000 acres in total. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the total number of acres the Palisades fire burnt once it is no longer active (100% contained). If the fire is still active as of December, 31, 2025, 11:59 PM PT, this market will resolve based on total number of acres burnt at that point.

The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Volumen
$260,607
Enddatum
Jun 30, 2025
Markt eröffnet
Jan 9, 2025, 12:51 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California burns less than 20,000 acres in total. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the total number of acres the Palisades fire burnt once it is no longer active (100% contained). If the fire is still active as of December, 31, 2025, 11:59 PM PT, this market will resolve based on total number of acres burnt at that point. The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: No

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"How many acres will Palisades wildfire burn in total?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "20-30k" at 100%, followed by "<20,000" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "How many acres will Palisades wildfire burn in total?" has generated $260.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 9, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "How many acres will Palisades wildfire burn in total?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "How many acres will Palisades wildfire burn in total?" is "20-30k" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<20,000" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "How many acres will Palisades wildfire burn in total?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.