Skip to main content
Market icon

How many acres will Los Angeles wildfires burn by Sunday?

Market icon

How many acres will Los Angeles wildfires burn by Sunday?

40-50k 100.0%

<30k <1%

30-40k <1%

50-60k <1%

Polymarket

$218,356 Vol.

40-50k 100.0%

<30k <1%

30-40k <1%

50-60k <1%

Polymarket

$218,356 Vol.

<30k

$9,531 Vol.

No

30-40k

$23,777 Vol.

No

40-50k

$29,853 Vol.

Yes

50-60k

$28,924 Vol.

No

60-70k

$34,664 Vol.

No

70-80k

$53,731 Vol.

No

80k+

$37,876 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the sum of all wildfires in Los Angeles county burn less than 30,000 acres by January 12, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” This market refers to all wildfires in Los Angeles county, over 10 acres, which began between January 7, 2025, and this market's resolution date. This currently includes the Palisades, Eaton, Hurst, Lidia, Sunset, and Woodley fires, however any new fires recorded by the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection will also count. The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the sum of all wildfires in Los Angeles county burn between 30,000 (inclusive) and 40,000 (exclusive) acres by January 12, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” This market refers to all wildfires in Los Angeles county, over 10 acres, which began between January 7, 2025, and this market's resolution date. This currently includes the Palisades, Eaton, Hurst, Lidia, Sunset, and Woodley fires, however any new fires recorded by the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection will also count. The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the sum of all wildfires in Los Angeles county burn between 40,000 (inclusive) and 50,000 (exclusive) acres by January 12, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” This market refers to all wildfires in Los Angeles county, over 10 acres, which began between January 7, 2025, and this market's resolution date. This currently includes the Palisades, Eaton, Hurst, Lidia, Sunset, and Woodley fires, however any new fires recorded by the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection will also count. The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the sum of all wildfires in Los Angeles county burn between 50,000 (inclusive) and 60,000 (exclusive) acres by January 12, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” This market refers to all wildfires in Los Angeles county, over 10 acres, which began between January 7, 2025, and this market's resolution date. This currently includes the Palisades, Eaton, Hurst, Lidia, Sunset, and Woodley fires, however any new fires recorded by the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection will also count. The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the sum of all wildfires in Los Angeles county burn between 60,000 (inclusive) and 70,000 (exclusive) acres by January 12, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” This market refers to all wildfires in Los Angeles county, over 10 acres, which began between January 7, 2025, and this market's resolution date. This currently includes the Palisades, Eaton, Hurst, Lidia, Sunset, and Woodley fires, however any new fires recorded by the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection will also count. The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the sum of all wildfires in Los Angeles county burn between 70,000 (inclusive) and 80,000 (exclusive) acres by January 12, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” This market refers to all wildfires in Los Angeles county, over 10 acres, which began between January 7, 2025, and this market's resolution date. This currently includes the Palisades, Eaton, Hurst, Lidia, Sunset, and Woodley fires, however any new fires recorded by the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection will also count. The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the sum of all wildfires in Los Angeles county burn 80,000 or more acres by January 12, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” This market refers to all wildfires in Los Angeles county, over 10 acres, which began between January 7, 2025, and this market's resolution date. This currently includes the Palisades, Eaton, Hurst, Lidia, Sunset, and Woodley fires, however any new fires recorded by the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection will also count. The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the sum of all wildfires in Los Angeles county burn less than 30,000 acres by January 12, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

This market refers to all wildfires in Los Angeles county, over 10 acres, which began between January 7, 2025, and this market's resolution date. This currently includes the Palisades, Eaton, Hurst, Lidia, Sunset, and Woodley fires, however any new fires recorded by the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection will also count.

The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Volumen
$218,356
Enddatum
12. Jan. 2025
Markt eröffnet
Jan 9, 2025, 11:51 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the sum of all wildfires in Los Angeles county burn less than 30,000 acres by January 12, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” This market refers to all wildfires in Los Angeles county, over 10 acres, which began between January 7, 2025, and this market's resolution date. This currently includes the Palisades, Eaton, Hurst, Lidia, Sunset, and Woodley fires, however any new fires recorded by the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection will also count. The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the sum of all wildfires in Los Angeles county burn less than 30,000 acres by January 12, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” This market refers to all wildfires in Los Angeles county, over 10 acres, which began between January 7, 2025, and this market's resolution date. This currently includes the Palisades, Eaton, Hurst, Lidia, Sunset, and Woodley fires, however any new fires recorded by the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection will also count. The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the sum of all wildfires in Los Angeles county burn between 30,000 (inclusive) and 40,000 (exclusive) acres by January 12, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” This market refers to all wildfires in Los Angeles county, over 10 acres, which began between January 7, 2025, and this market's resolution date. This currently includes the Palisades, Eaton, Hurst, Lidia, Sunset, and Woodley fires, however any new fires recorded by the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection will also count. The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the sum of all wildfires in Los Angeles county burn between 40,000 (inclusive) and 50,000 (exclusive) acres by January 12, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” This market refers to all wildfires in Los Angeles county, over 10 acres, which began between January 7, 2025, and this market's resolution date. This currently includes the Palisades, Eaton, Hurst, Lidia, Sunset, and Woodley fires, however any new fires recorded by the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection will also count. The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the sum of all wildfires in Los Angeles county burn between 50,000 (inclusive) and 60,000 (exclusive) acres by January 12, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” This market refers to all wildfires in Los Angeles county, over 10 acres, which began between January 7, 2025, and this market's resolution date. This currently includes the Palisades, Eaton, Hurst, Lidia, Sunset, and Woodley fires, however any new fires recorded by the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection will also count. The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the sum of all wildfires in Los Angeles county burn between 60,000 (inclusive) and 70,000 (exclusive) acres by January 12, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” This market refers to all wildfires in Los Angeles county, over 10 acres, which began between January 7, 2025, and this market's resolution date. This currently includes the Palisades, Eaton, Hurst, Lidia, Sunset, and Woodley fires, however any new fires recorded by the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection will also count. The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the sum of all wildfires in Los Angeles county burn between 70,000 (inclusive) and 80,000 (exclusive) acres by January 12, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” This market refers to all wildfires in Los Angeles county, over 10 acres, which began between January 7, 2025, and this market's resolution date. This currently includes the Palisades, Eaton, Hurst, Lidia, Sunset, and Woodley fires, however any new fires recorded by the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection will also count. The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the sum of all wildfires in Los Angeles county burn 80,000 or more acres by January 12, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” This market refers to all wildfires in Los Angeles county, over 10 acres, which began between January 7, 2025, and this market's resolution date. This currently includes the Palisades, Eaton, Hurst, Lidia, Sunset, and Woodley fires, however any new fires recorded by the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection will also count. The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the sum of all wildfires in Los Angeles county burn less than 30,000 acres by January 12, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

This market refers to all wildfires in Los Angeles county, over 10 acres, which began between January 7, 2025, and this market's resolution date. This currently includes the Palisades, Eaton, Hurst, Lidia, Sunset, and Woodley fires, however any new fires recorded by the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection will also count.

The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Volumen
$218,356
Enddatum
12. Jan. 2025
Markt eröffnet
Jan 9, 2025, 11:51 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the sum of all wildfires in Los Angeles county burn less than 30,000 acres by January 12, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” This market refers to all wildfires in Los Angeles county, over 10 acres, which began between January 7, 2025, and this market's resolution date. This currently includes the Palisades, Eaton, Hurst, Lidia, Sunset, and Woodley fires, however any new fires recorded by the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection will also count. The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: No

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„How many acres will Los Angeles wildfires burn by Sunday?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 7 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „40-50k" mit 100%, gefolgt von „<30k" mit 0%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 100¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „How many acres will Los Angeles wildfires burn by Sunday?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $218.4K generiert, seit der Markt am Jan 9, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „How many acres will Los Angeles wildfires burn by Sunday?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 7 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „How many acres will Los Angeles wildfires burn by Sunday?" ist „40-50k" mit 100%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „<30k" mit 0%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „How many acres will Los Angeles wildfires burn by Sunday?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.