MetService's latest forecast for Wellington Central on April 2 projects a daytime high of 19°C under fine conditions with developing northerlies, driving trader consensus toward this outcome at 39.5% implied probability, closely followed by 20°C (25.5%) and 18°C (20.5%). A dominant high-pressure ridge ensures clear skies for solar heating, while northerly winds introduce mild warming potential above the April climatological average of around 17°C, following recent highs of 17.2–17.3°C on March 31–April 1 amid a chilly seasonal start. Model ensembles show minor spread due to exact peak timing and wind strength uncertainties; watch for afternoon forecast updates from MetService, with resolution based on official airport or Kelburn observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Wellington on April 2?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 2?
19°C 40%
20°C 26%
18°C 22%
21°C or higher 8%
$31,461 Vol.
$31,461 Vol.
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
6%
18°C
22%
19°C
40%
20°C
26%
21°C or higher
8%
19°C 40%
20°C 26%
18°C 22%
21°C or higher 8%
$31,461 Vol.
$31,461 Vol.
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
6%
18°C
22%
19°C
40%
20°C
26%
21°C or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService's latest forecast for Wellington Central on April 2 projects a daytime high of 19°C under fine conditions with developing northerlies, driving trader consensus toward this outcome at 39.5% implied probability, closely followed by 20°C (25.5%) and 18°C (20.5%). A dominant high-pressure ridge ensures clear skies for solar heating, while northerly winds introduce mild warming potential above the April climatological average of around 17°C, following recent highs of 17.2–17.3°C on March 31–April 1 amid a chilly seasonal start. Model ensembles show minor spread due to exact peak timing and wind strength uncertainties; watch for afternoon forecast updates from MetService, with resolution based on official airport or Kelburn observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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