Florida's 24th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent general election results favoring Democratic candidates. The recent retirement announcement by long-serving incumbent Frederica Wilson has opened the seat for an August 18 primary featuring multiple Democratic contenders, yet no comparable Republican challengers have emerged to alter the race's trajectory. Traders assign overwhelming probability to a Democratic victory in the November 3 general election due to the district's voter composition and historical margins, with limited near-term developments capable of shifting that consensus. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain narrow, such as an unusually competitive Republican primary outcome or unexpected turnout shifts, though structural factors continue to favor the leading party.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertFL-24 Wahlsieger
FL-24 Wahlsieger
$17,745 Vol.
$17,745 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
94%
Republikanische Partei
4%
$17,745 Vol.
$17,745 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$7,268 Vol.
94%
Republikanische Partei
$10,477 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 24th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent general election results favoring Democratic candidates. The recent retirement announcement by long-serving incumbent Frederica Wilson has opened the seat for an August 18 primary featuring multiple Democratic contenders, yet no comparable Republican challengers have emerged to alter the race's trajectory. Traders assign overwhelming probability to a Democratic victory in the November 3 general election due to the district's voter composition and historical margins, with limited near-term developments capable of shifting that consensus. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain narrow, such as an unusually competitive Republican primary outcome or unexpected turnout shifts, though structural factors continue to favor the leading party.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volumen
$17,745Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 24th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent general election results favoring Democratic candidates. The recent retirement announcement by long-serving incumbent Frederica Wilson has opened the seat for an August 18 primary featuring multiple Democratic contenders, yet no comparable Republican challengers have emerged to alter the race's trajectory. Traders assign overwhelming probability to a Democratic victory in the November 3 general election due to the district's voter composition and historical margins, with limited near-term developments capable of shifting that consensus. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain narrow, such as an unusually competitive Republican primary outcome or unexpected turnout shifts, though structural factors continue to favor the leading party.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$17,745Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 24th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent general election results favoring Democratic candidates. The recent retirement announcement by long-serving incumbent Frederica Wilson has opened the seat for an August 18 primary featuring multiple Democratic contenders, yet no comparable Republican challengers have emerged to alter the race's trajectory. Traders assign overwhelming probability to a Democratic victory in the November 3 general election due to the district's voter composition and historical margins, with limited near-term developments capable of shifting that consensus. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain narrow, such as an unusually competitive Republican primary outcome or unexpected turnout shifts, though structural factors continue to favor the leading party.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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