A strengthening El Niño, with sea surface temperature anomalies exceeding +2.0°C in the eastern equatorial Pacific and greater than 90% odds of a very strong event through winter 2026-27 per NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, stands as the dominant driver shaping early-season snow prospects. This pattern favors cooler, wetter conditions across the northern Intermountain West and Pacific Northwest, raising chances for measurable snowfall (0.1 inch liquid equivalent) at high elevations in Montana, Idaho, Wyoming, and the Colorado Rockies as early as late September, consistent with climatological medians there. Warmer, drier anomalies are more likely across the High Plains and much of the contiguous U.S. through November, potentially delaying first snow in lower-elevation or southern sites. The next ENSO Diagnostics Discussion on September 10 and updated NOAA seasonal outlooks will refine guidance on temperature and precipitation anomalies critical to surface thresholds for snow versus rain.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertErster Schnee der Saison 2026

Buffalo, NY bis zum 31. Oktober
56%

Denver, CO bis zum 31. Oktober
63%

Minneapolis, MN bis zum 31. Oktober
56%

Salt Lake City, UT bis zum 31. Oktober
53%

Boston, MA bis zum 15. November
60%

Buffalo, NY bis zum 15. November
92%

Chicago, IL bis zum 15. November
57%

Denver, CO bis zum 15. November
94%

Detroit, MI bis zum 15. November
90%

Indianapolis, IN bis zum 15. November
83%

Kansas City, MO bis zum 15. November
33%

Minneapolis, MN bis zum 15. November
88%

Pittsburgh, PA bis zum 15. November
57%

Salt Lake City, UT bis zum 15. November
87%

Boston, MA bis zum 30. November
93%

Buffalo, NY bis zum 30. November
93%

Chicago, IL bis zum 30. November
78%

Cincinnati, OH bis zum 30. November
83%

Dallas, TX bis zum 30. November
11%

Denver, CO bis zum 30. November
99%

Detroit, MI bis zum 30. November
89%

Indianapolis, IN bis zum 30. November
94%

Kansas City, MO bis zum 30. November
84%

Minneapolis, MN bis zum 30. November
93%

Nashville, TN bis zum 30. November
29%

New York City, NY bis zum 30. November
68%

Philadelphia, PA bis 30. November
18%

Pittsburgh, PA bis zum 30. November
77%

Salt Lake City, UT bis zum 30. November
89%

St. Louis, MO bis zum 30. November
75%

Washington, DC bis zum 30. November
44%
$7,447 Vol.

Buffalo, NY bis zum 31. Oktober
56%

Denver, CO bis zum 31. Oktober
63%

Minneapolis, MN bis zum 31. Oktober
56%

Salt Lake City, UT bis zum 31. Oktober
53%

Boston, MA bis zum 15. November
60%

Buffalo, NY bis zum 15. November
92%

Chicago, IL bis zum 15. November
57%

Denver, CO bis zum 15. November
94%

Detroit, MI bis zum 15. November
90%

Indianapolis, IN bis zum 15. November
83%

Kansas City, MO bis zum 15. November
33%

Minneapolis, MN bis zum 15. November
88%

Pittsburgh, PA bis zum 15. November
57%

Salt Lake City, UT bis zum 15. November
87%

Boston, MA bis zum 30. November
93%

Buffalo, NY bis zum 30. November
93%

Chicago, IL bis zum 30. November
78%

Cincinnati, OH bis zum 30. November
83%

Dallas, TX bis zum 30. November
11%

Denver, CO bis zum 30. November
99%

Detroit, MI bis zum 30. November
89%

Indianapolis, IN bis zum 30. November
94%

Kansas City, MO bis zum 30. November
84%

Minneapolis, MN bis zum 30. November
93%

Nashville, TN bis zum 30. November
29%

New York City, NY bis zum 30. November
68%

Philadelphia, PA bis 30. November
18%

Pittsburgh, PA bis zum 30. November
77%

Salt Lake City, UT bis zum 30. November
89%

St. Louis, MO bis zum 30. November
75%

Washington, DC bis zum 30. November
44%
Any amount of snowfall qualifies, including a report of "T" (trace) - snow observed but too little to measure. Once snowfall is reported, this market resolves "Yes" immediately, without waiting for the rest of the window. This market resolves "No" only if no snowfall is reported for any day of the window.
The observation day is the National Weather Service climate day at KBUF (midnight to midnight local time, America/New_York).
Resolution is based on the station's first published snowfall figure for each day, as given in the first final Daily Climate Report for that day. Intermediate reports issued during the day are not used. Subsequent revisions or corrections will not be considered; the first published value is final. A report whose snowfall value is missing (for example, shown as "M") does not count as a published value; the snowfall figure for that day will be taken from the first subsequent report that includes one. If a day's snowfall value is missing but the month-to-date or season-to-date snowfall total in that day's final report is higher than in the previous day's final report, snow fell on that day and this market resolves "Yes". This market resolves as soon as its outcome is determined - "Yes" as soon as any day's report shows snowfall, or "No" as soon as every day of the window has a published snowfall figure and every figure is zero. There is no waiting period. If any day's snowfall figure remains unpublished, the market will remain open until the earlier of the figure being published or the 3rd day after the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, at which point any such day is treated as zero snowfall.
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report for KBUF, issued as product CLIBUF. That page shows the latest report only; past daily reports are archived on the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/list.phtml?by=pil&pil=CLIBUF.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 2, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
Any amount of snowfall qualifies, including a report of "T" (trace) - snow observed but too little to measure. Once snowfall is reported, this market resolves "Yes" immediately, without waiting for the rest of the window. This market resolves "No" only if no snowfall is reported for any day of the window.
The observation day is the National Weather Service climate day at KBUF (midnight to midnight local time, America/New_York).
Resolution is based on the station's first published snowfall figure for each day, as given in the first final Daily Climate Report for that day. Intermediate reports issued during the day are not used. Subsequent revisions or corrections will not be considered; the first published value is final. A report whose snowfall value is missing (for example, shown as "M") does not count as a published value; the snowfall figure for that day will be taken from the first subsequent report that includes one. If a day's snowfall value is missing but the month-to-date or season-to-date snowfall total in that day's final report is higher than in the previous day's final report, snow fell on that day and this market resolves "Yes". This market resolves as soon as its outcome is determined - "Yes" as soon as any day's report shows snowfall, or "No" as soon as every day of the window has a published snowfall figure and every figure is zero. There is no waiting period. If any day's snowfall figure remains unpublished, the market will remain open until the earlier of the figure being published or the 3rd day after the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, at which point any such day is treated as zero snowfall.
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report for KBUF, issued as product CLIBUF. That page shows the latest report only; past daily reports are archived on the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/list.phtml?by=pil&pil=CLIBUF.
A strengthening El Niño, with sea surface temperature anomalies exceeding +2.0°C in the eastern equatorial Pacific and greater than 90% odds of a very strong event through winter 2026-27 per NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, stands as the dominant driver shaping early-season snow prospects. This pattern favors cooler, wetter conditions across the northern Intermountain West and Pacific Northwest, raising chances for measurable snowfall (0.1 inch liquid equivalent) at high elevations in Montana, Idaho, Wyoming, and the Colorado Rockies as early as late September, consistent with climatological medians there. Warmer, drier anomalies are more likely across the High Plains and much of the contiguous U.S. through November, potentially delaying first snow in lower-elevation or southern sites. The next ENSO Diagnostics Discussion on September 10 and updated NOAA seasonal outlooks will refine guidance on temperature and precipitation anomalies critical to surface thresholds for snow versus rain.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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