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Politik·Bürgermeister Von NYC

First round leader wins NYC Democratic primary?

Market icon
Politik·Bürgermeister Von NYC

First round leader wins NYC Democratic primary?

>99% Chance
Polymarket

$43,436 Vol.

>99% Chance
Polymarket

$43,436 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who receives the most first-choice votes in the 2025 Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City, scheduled for June 24, 2025, also finishes with the most votes in the final round of the official ranked-choice voting (RCV) tabulation. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, “first-choice votes” refers to vote totals from the initial round of RCV tabulation, before any eliminations or vote transfers occur. “Final-round votes” refers to the vote totals in the final round of RCV, after all eliminations and reallocation of votes have occurred. If multiple candidates are tied for the most votes in either the first or final round, the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order will be considered higher-ranked for the purposes of resolving this market. This market will resolve based on the official certified results published by the New York City Board of Elections. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who receives the most first-choice votes in the 2025 Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City, scheduled for June 24, 2025, also finishes with the most votes in the final round of the official ranked-choice voting (RCV) tabulation. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, “first-choice votes” refers to vote totals from the initial round of RCV tabulation, before any eliminations or vote transfers occur. “Final-round votes” refers to the vote totals in the final round of RCV, after all eliminations and reallocation of votes have occurred.

If multiple candidates are tied for the most votes in either the first or final round, the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order will be considered higher-ranked for the purposes of resolving this market.

This market will resolve based on the official certified results published by the New York City Board of Elections. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.
Volumen
$43,436
Enddatum
24. Juni 2025
Markt eröffnet
Jun 12, 2025, 6:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who receives the most first-choice votes in the 2025 Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City, scheduled for June 24, 2025, also finishes with the most votes in the final round of the official ranked-choice voting (RCV) tabulation. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, “first-choice votes” refers to vote totals from the initial round of RCV tabulation, before any eliminations or vote transfers occur. “Final-round votes” refers to the vote totals in the final round of RCV, after all eliminations and reallocation of votes have occurred. If multiple candidates are tied for the most votes in either the first or final round, the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order will be considered higher-ranked for the purposes of resolving this market. This market will resolve based on the official certified results published by the New York City Board of Elections. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who receives the most first-choice votes in the 2025 Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City, scheduled for June 24, 2025, also finishes with the most votes in the final round of the official ranked-choice voting (RCV) tabulation. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, “first-choice votes” refers to vote totals from the initial round of RCV tabulation, before any eliminations or vote transfers occur. “Final-round votes” refers to the vote totals in the final round of RCV, after all eliminations and reallocation of votes have occurred. If multiple candidates are tied for the most votes in either the first or final round, the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order will be considered higher-ranked for the purposes of resolving this market. This market will resolve based on the official certified results published by the New York City Board of Elections. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who receives the most first-choice votes in the 2025 Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City, scheduled for June 24, 2025, also finishes with the most votes in the final round of the official ranked-choice voting (RCV) tabulation. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, “first-choice votes” refers to vote totals from the initial round of RCV tabulation, before any eliminations or vote transfers occur. “Final-round votes” refers to the vote totals in the final round of RCV, after all eliminations and reallocation of votes have occurred.

If multiple candidates are tied for the most votes in either the first or final round, the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order will be considered higher-ranked for the purposes of resolving this market.

This market will resolve based on the official certified results published by the New York City Board of Elections. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.
Volumen
$43,436
Enddatum
24. Juni 2025
Markt eröffnet
Jun 12, 2025, 6:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who receives the most first-choice votes in the 2025 Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City, scheduled for June 24, 2025, also finishes with the most votes in the final round of the official ranked-choice voting (RCV) tabulation. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, “first-choice votes” refers to vote totals from the initial round of RCV tabulation, before any eliminations or vote transfers occur. “Final-round votes” refers to the vote totals in the final round of RCV, after all eliminations and reallocation of votes have occurred. If multiple candidates are tied for the most votes in either the first or final round, the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order will be considered higher-ranked for the purposes of resolving this market. This market will resolve based on the official certified results published by the New York City Board of Elections. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„First round leader wins NYC Democratic primary?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket, auf dem Händler „Ja"- oder „Nein"-Anteile kaufen und verkaufen, je nachdem, ob sie glauben, dass dieses Ereignis eintreten wird. Die aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeit laut Community liegt bei 100% für „Yes". Wird „Ja" beispielsweise bei 100¢ gehandelt, schätzt der Markt die Wahrscheinlichkeit des Eintretens auf 100%. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen und Informationen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „First round leader wins NYC Democratic primary?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $43.4K generiert, seit der Markt am Jun 12, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „First round leader wins NYC Democratic primary?" zu handeln, wählen Sie einfach, ob Sie glauben, dass die Antwort „Ja" oder „Nein" lautet. Jede Seite hat einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes widerspiegelt. Geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Wenn Sie „Ja"-Anteile kaufen und das Ergebnis als „Ja" aufgelöst wird, zahlt jeder Anteil $1 aus. Wird es als „Nein" aufgelöst, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen, um einen Gewinn zu sichern oder einen Verlust zu begrenzen.

Die aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeit für „First round leader wins NYC Democratic primary?" liegt bei 100% für „Yes". Das bedeutet, die Polymarket-Community glaubt derzeit, dass eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% besteht, dass dieses Ereignis eintritt. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit auf Basis tatsächlicher Handelsgeschäfte aktualisiert und liefern ein ständig aktualisiertes Signal dessen, was der Markt erwartet.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „First round leader wins NYC Democratic primary?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.