Mercedes locked out the front row in qualifying at Suzuka with Kimi Antonelli on pole position ahead of George Russell, capping a dominant weekend that included 1-2 finishes in FP1 and FP3, while topping long-run simulations critical for race pace. This supremacy, building on their early 2026 championship lead, has traders pricing Mercedes at 84.5% implied probability to deliver the highest classified finisher and first constructor points. Ferrari's Charles Leclerc in fourth keeps them viable at 12.5% amid consistent top-five showings, but McLaren faltered post-FP2 pace with Oscar Piastri third, matching Red Bull's 8% odds despite the latter's grid struggles like Max Verstappen's low practice finishes. Sunday's race could see pit strategy or tire wear shift dynamics at the demanding Japanese circuit.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertMercedes 86%
Ferrari 13%
Tgr Haas 11%
Alpine 10%
Mercedes
86%
Ferrari
13%
Tgr Haas
11%
Alpine
10%
Red Bull
10%
Audi Revolut
8%
Mclaren Mastercard
8%
Racing Bulls
3%
Williams
<1%
Cadillac
<1%
Aston Martin
<1%
Mercedes 86%
Ferrari 13%
Tgr Haas 11%
Alpine 10%
Mercedes
86%
Ferrari
13%
Tgr Haas
11%
Alpine
10%
Red Bull
10%
Audi Revolut
8%
Mclaren Mastercard
8%
Racing Bulls
3%
Williams
<1%
Cadillac
<1%
Aston Martin
<1%
In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).
Markt eröffnet: Mar 11, 2026, 8:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).
Resolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mercedes locked out the front row in qualifying at Suzuka with Kimi Antonelli on pole position ahead of George Russell, capping a dominant weekend that included 1-2 finishes in FP1 and FP3, while topping long-run simulations critical for race pace. This supremacy, building on their early 2026 championship lead, has traders pricing Mercedes at 84.5% implied probability to deliver the highest classified finisher and first constructor points. Ferrari's Charles Leclerc in fourth keeps them viable at 12.5% amid consistent top-five showings, but McLaren faltered post-FP2 pace with Oscar Piastri third, matching Red Bull's 8% odds despite the latter's grid struggles like Max Verstappen's low practice finishes. Sunday's race could see pit strategy or tire wear shift dynamics at the demanding Japanese circuit.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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