Mercedes' trader consensus lead at 76.5% implied probability for the 2025 F1 Constructors' Championship stems from their stable driver pairing of George Russell and rookie sensation Kimi Antonelli, whose F2 title clinch and official signing on November 21 boosted market confidence in their synergy and late-season momentum with podiums in Brazil and Las Vegas. Ferrari trails at 13.5% despite Lewis Hamilton's high-profile switch from Mercedes, as integration risks with Charles Leclerc linger amid recent strategy missteps in Qatar. McLaren's 3.5% reflects their dominant 2024 form—extending their points lead with a 1-2 in Qatar—but doubts over sustaining development against rivals. Red Bull's 2.1% accounts for internal upheaval, including Sergio Perez's dismissal and Yuki Tsunoda's late signing alongside Max Verstappen, compounded by Christian Horner's ongoing scrutiny.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertMercedes 77%
Ferrari 14%
McLaren 3.6%
Red Bull Racing 2.1%
$6,830,907 Vol.
$6,830,907 Vol.

Mercedes
77%

Ferrari
14%

McLaren
4%

Red Bull Racing
2%

Aston Martin
1%

Williams
1%

Audi
1%

Cadillac
1%

Racing Bulls
1%

Haas
1%

Alpine
1%
Mercedes 77%
Ferrari 14%
McLaren 3.6%
Red Bull Racing 2.1%
$6,830,907 Vol.
$6,830,907 Vol.

Mercedes
77%

Ferrari
14%

McLaren
4%

Red Bull Racing
2%

Aston Martin
1%

Williams
1%

Audi
1%

Cadillac
1%

Racing Bulls
1%

Haas
1%

Alpine
1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes' trader consensus lead at 76.5% implied probability for the 2025 F1 Constructors' Championship stems from their stable driver pairing of George Russell and rookie sensation Kimi Antonelli, whose F2 title clinch and official signing on November 21 boosted market confidence in their synergy and late-season momentum with podiums in Brazil and Las Vegas. Ferrari trails at 13.5% despite Lewis Hamilton's high-profile switch from Mercedes, as integration risks with Charles Leclerc linger amid recent strategy missteps in Qatar. McLaren's 3.5% reflects their dominant 2024 form—extending their points lead with a 1-2 in Qatar—but doubts over sustaining development against rivals. Red Bull's 2.1% accounts for internal upheaval, including Sergio Perez's dismissal and Yuki Tsunoda's late signing alongside Max Verstappen, compounded by Christian Horner's ongoing scrutiny.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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