Following Tuesday's first semi-final and Thursday's second semi-final results, all primary contenders—Finland, Australia, Greece, Denmark, and Israel—advanced to Saturday's grand final in Vienna, solidifying trader consensus on a fiercely competitive podium race. Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin" leads market-implied odds for third at 16% thanks to explosive dress rehearsal staging and strong televote projections, though softer jury predictions temper its frontrunner status. Australia (Delta Goodrem's "Eclipse") and Greece (Akylas' "Ferto") trail closely at 13% each, buoyed by fan hype and diaspora support, while Denmark (Søren Torpegaard Lund's "Før vi går hjem") and Israel (Noam Bettan's "Michelle") gain from jury appeal and surprise semi momentum. With running order set—Denmark opening—and jury-televote split reveal imminent, vocal stability and last-minute buzz could swing the deadlock.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertEurovision 3rd Place 2026
Eurovision 3rd Place 2026
Finland 16%
Greece 13%
Australia 13%
Denmark 12%
$19,535 Vol.
$19,535 Vol.

Finland
16%

Greece
13%

Australia
13%

Denmark
12%

Israel
10%

France
8%

Bulgaria
7%

Ukraine
5%

Romania
5%

Moldova
2%

Sweden
2%

Serbia
2%

Czechia
2%

Italy
2%

Latvia
1%

Portugal
1%

Croatia
1%

Cyprus
1%

Estonia
1%

Austria
<1%

Albania
<1%

Germany
<1%

Azerbaijan
<1%

United Kingdom
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Georgia
<1%

Lithuania
<1%

Luxembourg
<1%

Malta
<1%

Norway
<1%

Belgium
<1%

Poland
<1%

San Marino
<1%

Montenegro
<1%

Switzerland
<1%
Finland 16%
Greece 13%
Australia 13%
Denmark 12%
$19,535 Vol.
$19,535 Vol.

Finland
16%

Greece
13%

Australia
13%

Denmark
12%

Israel
10%

France
8%

Bulgaria
7%

Ukraine
5%

Romania
5%

Moldova
2%

Sweden
2%

Serbia
2%

Czechia
2%

Italy
2%

Latvia
1%

Portugal
1%

Croatia
1%

Cyprus
1%

Estonia
1%

Austria
<1%

Albania
<1%

Germany
<1%

Azerbaijan
<1%

United Kingdom
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Georgia
<1%

Lithuania
<1%

Luxembourg
<1%

Malta
<1%

Norway
<1%

Belgium
<1%

Poland
<1%

San Marino
<1%

Montenegro
<1%

Switzerland
<1%
If no third place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Markt eröffnet: May 12, 2026, 11:55 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no third place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Following Tuesday's first semi-final and Thursday's second semi-final results, all primary contenders—Finland, Australia, Greece, Denmark, and Israel—advanced to Saturday's grand final in Vienna, solidifying trader consensus on a fiercely competitive podium race. Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin" leads market-implied odds for third at 16% thanks to explosive dress rehearsal staging and strong televote projections, though softer jury predictions temper its frontrunner status. Australia (Delta Goodrem's "Eclipse") and Greece (Akylas' "Ferto") trail closely at 13% each, buoyed by fan hype and diaspora support, while Denmark (Søren Torpegaard Lund's "Før vi går hjem") and Israel (Noam Bettan's "Michelle") gain from jury appeal and surprise semi momentum. With running order set—Denmark opening—and jury-televote split reveal imminent, vocal stability and last-minute buzz could swing the deadlock.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen